All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
All-In Podcast, LLC
Industry veterans, degenerate gamblers & besties Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks & David Friedberg cover all things economic, tech, political, social & poker.
Trump vs Harvard, Nvidia export controls, how DEI killed Hollywood with Tim Dillon
(0:00) The Besties welcome Tim Dillon! (6:56) Nvidia H20 export controls, the China workaround, plausible deniability by chipmakers selling to China-linked entities (28:45) Trump vs. Harvard: Why the White House is threatening to take Harvard's tax-exempt status away (57:04) Hollywood's DEI facade, thoughts on AI, and more (1:18:06) Celebrity Jeopardy update: Friedberg is heading to the finals! (1:26:44) Science Corner: Mitochondrial Therapy Follow Tim: https://x.com/TimJDillon Check out Tim's n
The Great Tariff Debate with David Sacks, Larry Summers, and Ezra Klein
(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:58) Reacting to Trump targeting China and postponing all other reciprocal tariffs (21:21) Measures for success of tariffs, debating the impact of letting China into the WTO (46:14) Is the US being exploited on trade? Was free trade a mistake? (1:02:01) Recession chances, How the Trump administration gathers information (1:19:39) Future of the Democratic Party, Abundance agenda, DOGE (1:51:00) The Besties recap the debate and Chamath recaps the Breakthrough Prize Ceremon
DOGE updates + Liberation Day Tariff Reactions with Ben Shapiro and Antonio Gracias
(0:00) The Besties welcome Ben Shapiro and Antonio Gracias (1:54) Why Antonio is helping out and what it's like working with DOGE (4:56) DOGE's latest findings: illegal immigration, social security, and more (27:59) Was Biden's open border policy a Dem strategy to expand their voter base? (39:55) Tariffs: Liberation Day chaos, reactions, strategy (55:26) Impact, consequences, and risks for the Trump Administration (1:13:50) How the US can thrive in a high-tariff world (1:31:33) Future US politic
All-In Live from Austin: Colin and Samir, Chris Williamson, and Bryan Johnson
(0:00) Friedberg and Jason are live from Austin! (2:51) How building an audience has impacted the Besties (11:15) Colin & Samir join the Besties! (12:01) Evolution of short-form and long-form content (22:18) Business models for creatives (35:04) Advice to up and coming creators (42:10) Chris Williamson joins the Besties! (50:17) Making it seem effortless (57:47) Monetizing content (1:05:02) Scaling a one-man show (1:19:15) Bryan Johnson joins the Besties! (1:20:13) Spotify’s move to video (1:21:
The AI Cold War, Signalgate, CoreWeave IPO, Tariff Endgames, El Salvador Deportations
(0:00) The Besties welcome Gavin Baker back on the show! (1:20) Nvidia balance sheet questions, CoreWeave IPO, M&A/IPO bounce back (16:22) US vs China in AI: Manus, China building its own Nvidia, and more (28:37) The Administration's endgame for tariffs (53:05) Signalgate: context and fallout (1:09:42) El Salvador deportations Follow Gavin: https://x.com/GavinSBaker Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https:/
White House BTS, Google buys Wiz, Treasury vs Fed, Space Rescue
(0:00) Welcoming Cyan Banister and David Sacks! (3:23) Behind the scenes of the Besties in DC: White House, cabinet interviews, and more (33:00) How M&A will be unleashed, Google buys Wiz for $32B, Tim Walz on Tesla (49:09) Deep dive on Google/Wiz: breakup fee, impact on VC, ROIC, cloud advantage (1:00:28) Treasury vs Fed tension, Bond markets, consumers, deregulation (1:12:57) Space rescue, SpaceX vs China, lunar landing Thanks to our partners for making this happen: Hims: https://www.hims.com
Howard Lutnick | All-In in DC!
(0:00) Chamath and Friedberg welcome Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick! (1:10) Howard describes his 30+ year relationship with President Trump and his road from business to politics (14:44) Running Trump's transition team, DOGE origin story, what it's like working for Trump (38:01) Balancing the budget and fixing GDP (52:21) Tariff history and strategy, global trade (1:10:34) Trump Cards, building better government software, AI thoughts (1:22:49) Sovereign Wealth Fund strategy (1:37:16) How his
Scott Bessent | All-In in DC!
(0:00) Chamath and Friedberg describe their adventures in DC and welcome Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent! (2:12) Scott's background, what drew him to equities, the role of macro investors (7:22) The legendary trade that broke the Bank of England in 1992, and how it relates to Main Street vs Wall Street today (21:30) Scott explains the Trump Administration's economic strategy (32:45) How this administration plans to de-regulate the economy, Fed relationship, re-financing debt (42:06) DOGE, DC gr
Fixing the American Dream with Andrew Schulz
(0:00) The Besties intro Andrew Schulz! (3:29) Friedberg hits a quick Science Corner on the future of fertility (9:35) Reacting to Gavin Newsom's new podcast: genius or pandering? (19:36) Tariff experiment so far: risks, communication issues, and more (30:44) Why the American Dream is broken and how to fix it: cracking the housing market, social security reform (55:45) Aligning upside via increased stock market participation (1:11:23) How Andrew blew up in comedy, going direct via YouTube, build
Tariffs, Trump's Economic Endgame, Market Chaos, Bitcoin Reserve, CoreWeave IPO
(0:00) The Besties welcome Joe Lonsdale! (3:51) Jason recaps an eventful week in Washington (8:29) Trump's tariffs: endgame, impact, chaos, master plan (26:25) DOGE, IRA grifting, do campaign contributions need to be capped? (53:42) CoreWeave IPO (1:03:36) Trump 2.0 favoring Main Street over Wall Street, bond market breakdown, re-balancing the economy (1:14:19) State of Ukraine/Russia, the Western alliance, and how techno-optimism plays into the future of defense pacts (1:24:31) GPT-4.5, Grok 3
Epstein Files Flop, State of the Market, Autonomous Robots, Trump's Gold Card, Friedberg on Jeopardy
(0:00) Bestie intros (1:41) Epstein files first release underwhelms (4:40) Friedberg recaps his experience on Celebrity Jeopardy! (14:22) State of autonomous robots (21:06) Comparing annual reports from Stripe and Adyen; Stripe's network effects, stablecoin infra, and the pace of AI company building (29:12) State of the market: stocks, tariffs, spending bill, the "great reset" (49:07) Trump's Gold Card (56:19) Sophisticated investor test, changing accreditation laws (1:06:57) USPS, Bezos refocus
The Stablecoin Future, Milei's Memecoin, DOGE for the DoD, Grok 3, Why Stripe Stays Private
(0:00) The Besties welcome John and Patrick Collison! (4:28) Stripe's business evolution: $1T in volume/year, stablecoins, challenging the Visa/Mastercard duopoly, publishing economic indicators (20:31) Jamie Dimon's leaked rant on remote work and bureaucracy (34:22) DOGE for Defense: Trump ordered the Pentagon to look at cutting the defense budget by 8%/year over the next five years (43:51) Crypto Corner: Milei's Memecoin embarrassment (1:00:18) John and Patrick break down the Arc Institute and
JD Vance's AI Speech, Techno-Optimists vs Doomers, Tariffs, AI Court Cases with Naval Ravikant
(0:00) The Besties intro Naval Ravikant! (9:07) Naval reflects on his thoughtful tweets and reputation (14:17) Unique views on parenting (23:20) Sacks joins to talk AI: JD Vance's speech in Paris, Techno-Optimists vs Doomers (1:11:06) Tariffs and the US economic experiment (1:21:15) Thomson Reuters wins first major AI copyright decision on behalf of rights holders (1:35:35) Chamath's dinner with Bryan Johnson, sleep hacks (1:45:09) Tulsi Gabbard, RFK Jr. confirmed Follow Naval: https://x.com/nav
DOGE vs USAID, Crypto Framework, Google's $75B AI Spend, US Sovereign Wealth Fund, GLP-1s
(0:00) The Besties intro Antonio Gracias! (3:11) DOGE takes on USAID (31:44) Sacks breaks in to talk USAID (34:00) Sacks explains what he's working on: Crypto/AI Frameworks (46:41) The Democratic Party's shrinking base (52:33) US Sovereign Wealth Fund + Breaking DOGE/Tax News (1:09:07) Google to spend $75B on AI buildout in 2025, future of work in the age of AI (1:23:21) Science Corner: GLP-1 macro study Follow Antonio: https://x.com/AntonioGracias Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https
DeepSeek Panic, US vs China, OpenAI $40B?, and Doge Delivers with Travis Kalanick and David Sacks
(0:00) The Besties intro Travis Kalanick! (2:11) Travis breaks down the future of food and the state of CloudKitchens (13:34) Sacks breaks in! (15:38) DeepSeek panic: What's real, training innovation, China, impact on markets and the AI industry (50:14) US vs China in AI, the Singapore backdoor (1:01:51) OpenAI reportedly in talks to raise ~$40B with Masa as the lead investor (1:10:37) DOGE's first 10 days (1:25:13) Future of Self Driving: Uber, Waymo, Tesla (1:38:04) Fed holds rates steady, how
Ray Dalio | The All-In Interview
(0:00) Ray Dalio joins Friedberg! (0:50) The current US fiscal situation (6:23) Breaking down "The Big Debt Cycle," a potential US debt spiral, and the impact on real wealth (24:54) USD vs other currencies and assets, best hedges against the dollar (33:20) Portfolio construction, how China increases risk for US AI companies, why this market reminds Ray of 1998-1999 (41:45) How the US can avoid a debt crisis (53:29) DOGE, Trump, and AI's greatest risk (1:05:31) Chances of conflict between the US
Trump's First Week: Inauguration Recap, Executive Actions, TikTok, Stargate + Sacks is Back!
(0:00) The Besties intro Thomas Laffont! (6:22) Behind the scenes: Inauguration Weekend recap! (15:58) Biggest takeaways from DC during the Inauguration (31:38) Trump Executive Action breakdown (33:39) TikTok's grace period extended, valuing the business, US new equity strategy? (57:01) Jan 6th pardons, birthright citizenship (1:09:49) Stargate: $500B AI investment, is Masa the GOAT?, bull case for OpenAI (1:23:41) How electricity production capacity plays into the global AI race (1:36:20) Netfl
Inauguration Interviews: Trump's Talent, Democratic Rebrand & more with House Whip Emmer, Reps Swalwell & Khanna
(0:00) House Whip Tom Emmer on Trump's political talent, the Biden conspiracy, taking back the Democratic party, immigration, the role of Whip (33:53) California Rep. Eric Swalwell on where Democrats went wrong, how to rebrand the party, TikTok ban, and more (1:08:01) California Rep. Ro Khanna on reforming the Democratic party, Bob Iger as LA Mayor, CA Leadership, TikTok ban Follow the Besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow Whip
Senator Ted Cruz | The All-In Inauguration Series
(0:00) Besties intro Senator Ted Cruz; history of the "Come and take it" flag (2:21) Texas vs. California: how to approach building and entrepreneurship (10:25) Thoughts on immigration, serving in the Senate, over-politicization (16:55) How to create a bipartisan consensus on immigration, increasing prosperity through opportunity (23:54) How Sen. Cruz would approach Trump's first two weeks of his second term (29:02) DOGE's two major challenges, unlimited Congressional terms, ideology over party,
Red-pilled Billionaires, LA Fire Update, Newsom's Price Caps, TikTok Ban, Jobless MBAs
(0:00) The Besties welcome Mark Pincus! (3:53) Mark's background (6:02) How Mark got red-pilled for Trump, maintaining friendships despite political differences (23:21) LA Wildfires update: Newsom's EOs, market impact of price controls (51:32) Congestion pricing in NYC, fixing broken cities (1:08:33) TikTok ban: origin and potential outcomes (1:19:15) MBA hiring downturn (1:34:37) Conspiracy Corner: Mark's take on UFOs and UAPs! Follow the Besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https
LA's Wildfire Disaster, Zuck Flips on Free Speech, Why Trump Wants Greenland
(0:00) The Besties welcome Cyan Banister! (9:16) Reacting to the LA wildfires: broken incentives, leadership failures, lessons learned (36:51) Insurance issues, rebuilding headwinds, reclaiming the government (59:44) Zuck goes full free speech, fires third-party fact-checkers, opts for Community Notes model (1:20:19) Nvidia goes consumer at CES: market cap impact, most interesting vertical (1:34:49) Why Trump wants Greenland (1:40:05) Conspiracy Corner: Who built the pyramids? Follow the Besties
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker
(0:00) The Besties welcome Gavin Baker and recap ski week! (5:38) Biggest Political Winner (9:26) Biggest Political Loser (17:34) Biggest Business Winner (32:43) Biggest Business Loser (46:54) Biggest Business Deal (57:04) Most Contrarian Belief (1:12:59) Best Performing Asset (1:22:56) Worst Performing Asset (1:30:19) Most Anticipated Trend (1:38:59) Most Anticipated Media (1:43:03) Super Predictions (1:46:50) Bonus: Drones, UFOs, and more Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com
DOGE kills its first bill, Zuck vs OpenAI, Google's AI comeback with bestie Aaron Levie
(0:00) Bestie intros (3:07) The Besties welcome Box CEO Aaron Levie! (5:40) Thoughts on Sacks's new role, what areas he can have immediate positive impact on in crypto and AI (18:42) DOGE's first casualty and its paradigm-shifting potential (48:25) Conspiracy Corner: What are the drones over New Jersey!? (57:36) Zuck joins Team Elon against OpenAI, AI's competitive landscape and downstream impact on business software (1:27:29) Google's AI turnaround, future of AI physics and video models Follow
Trump's Cabinet, Google's Quantum Chip, Apple's Flop, TikTok, State of VC with bestie Keith Rabois
(0:00) The Besties welcome Keith Rabois! (4:01) Keith explains why he returned to Khosla Ventures, the differences between Founders Fund and Khosla, and his husband Jacob Helberg's role in Trump Admin (13:09) Business acumen of Trump's cabinet and appointees, diversity of opinion (25:59) Google's new quantum chip: potential impact on encryption, cryptography, and more (43:50) Apple developing new server chip for AI inference, iOS flop, why its product culture is failing (54:30) TikTok panics aft
New SEC Chair, Bitcoin, xAI Supercomputer, UnitedHealth CEO murder, with Gavin Baker & Joe Lonsdale
(0:00) Bestie announcement! (2:53) Gavin Baker and Joe Lonsdale join the show (4:14) State of the Trump Bump: Debt focus, Deregulation, America's lucky position (20:08) Trump nominates Paul Atkins as SEC Chair, replacing Gary Gensler: What this means for crypto and other markets (41:07) Thoughts on Michael Saylor's Bitcoin play, state of defense tech, and the US/China AI competition (49:25) xAI's massive GPU cluster, expanding to 1M GPUs, how Grok 3 will test AI scaling laws, and what's next (1:
DOGE unveils a roadmap, Unlocking GDP Growth, WW3 escalation, Fat cell memory
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:54) Breaking down the DOGE roadmap (24:28) Milei's impact, DOGE's tight timeline, impact on GDP growth, "default sustainable," how to communicate DOGE (48:11) WW3 risk: Biden's recent escalation (1:00:43) Science Corner: Fat cells can remember being fat! Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg
Trump's market impact: Bitcoin, M&A, IPOs + transition picks; Polymarket CEO raided by FBI
(0:00) Bestie intros! (7:57) Election impact on Bitcoin, crypto, and fintech stocks (21:56) M&A and IPOs: What to expect in 2025 (39:52) Pharma advertising on cable tv: Should it be allowed? Is big pharma buying influence? (58:17) FBI raids Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan's home (1:05:51) Trump's transition picks: Strategy, highest upside/downside, and more Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular Follow the besties: https://x.com/c
Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:55) Sacks recaps election night at Mar-a-Lago (8:28) Analyzing the results: how Trump won, why Kamala and the Democratic Party lost (25:55) The failing Democratic coalition, campaign spend disparity, Trump's advantage in earned media (37:59) What mattered most: Policy, Candidate, or Campaign? (50:44) GOP will likely win House and Senate, potential cabinet positions, avoiding neocons (1:10:42) Cabinet positions, shaking up the unelected bureaucratic branch (1:28:47) Calif
Inflated GDP?, Google earnings, How the media lost trust, Rogan/Trump search controversy, Election!
(0:00) Bestie intros! (5:40) US Real GDP growth comes in at 2.8%, but there are underlying issues (29:16) Google earnings: YouTube and Cloud post huge quarters, would they have survived outside of Google? (36:24) Sacks's idea to auction off public spectrum licenses of major broadcast networks (42:17) How the media became one of the least trusted institutions in the US (54:26) Why Joe Rogan's interview with Trump was not appearing in YouTube search results (1:08:54) Final pre-election segment: ho
Markets turn Trump, Long rates spike, Election home stretch, Influencer mania, Saving Starbucks
(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:49) Announcement: Besties are hosting The All-In Holiday Spectacular in San Francisco on December 7th! Get tickets: https://allin.com/events (9:08) Macro and markets: making sense of unique asset diversions (27:23) Gen Z's economic cultural movements (38:28) Reallocating assets for a new period of constraints (53:52) Election update: Data leans Trump as we enter the home stretch (1:19:01) Is Starbucks fixable? Or has it hit market saturation? Get tickets to The All-In Ho
Dueling Presidential interviews, SpaceX’s big catch, Robotaxis, Uber buying Expedia?, Nuclear NIMBY
(0:00) Bestie intros (2:01) Polls vs Prediction markets, dueling interviews, election update (16:06) Tesla's Robotaxi event and SpaceX's Starship catch (27:36) Uber reportedly looking into acquiring Expedia (45:19) Nuclear Vibe Shift? Big tech is looking toward nuclear solutions to power AI (1:11:10) Lawfare from the California Coastal Commission Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod F
JD Vance | All-In Summit 2024
(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg (0:18) Besties intro JD Vance! (3:33) America's innovation problem (5:04) Thoughts on Trump (8:53) Would JD Vance have certified the election in 2020? (12:02) Increasing government efficiency, shrinking the deficit, Vance's role as VP, thoughts on EOs (19:35) Political realignment: Dick Cheney endorses Kamala Harris, winners and losers of the last 30 years (23:58) Thoughts on Lina Khan clamping down on tech M&A and her impact on the startup ecosystem (25:55) Fi
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey
(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:18) The science behind Hurricanes Helene and Milton (14:59) The economics of intensifying natural disasters (29:03) AlphaFold creators win Nobel Prize in Chemistry (35:17) The Jayter's Ball (38:53) Google antitrust update: DOJ is going for a breakup (53:32) VC giveback: CRV will return ~$275M of a $500M fund to LPs (1:03:44) New TikTok survey shows increased usage as a news source (1:15:26) Election update: Are polling problems causing a strategy shift for Kamala Harris?
Elon Musk | All-In Summit 2024
(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg (0:24) Besties intro Elon Musk! (1:23) The Battle of Free Speech (10:24) Potential government efficiency agency (27:45) SpaceX updates, overreaching regulations (36:10) Thoughts on Boeing's culture (38:27) The 80/20 AI Future (54:03) Elon and Jason share unaired SNL skits Follow Elon: https://x.com/elonmusk Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow
In conversation with Mark Cuban
(0:00) The Besties intro Mark Cuban: Voting record, working with Ross Perot's campaign in 1992 (5:43) The history of Cuban's love/hate relationship with Trump (19:08) Trump's performance as President: what he got right and wrong (40:46) Party nominations: Kamala vs. Trump (49:18) Biden's performance as President: what he got right and wrong (55:45) Should Kamala share blame for Biden's failures? (1:07:01) International conflict, national debt, crypto regulation (1:21:33) General sense of Kamala
John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs | All-In Summit 2024
(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg! (0:21) Sacks intros John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs (1:32) What is the Deep State Party, and what are their goals? (13:56) Should America leverage its power against dictators? (22:07) The China threat: avoiding the escalatory path to nuclear war (36:08) India's growing role; are China's wounds self-inflicted? (47:07) Conflict in the Middle East and the path to peace Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war
(0:00) Bestie intros: In Memoriam (6:43) OpenAI's $150B valuation: bull and bear cases (24:46) Will AI hurt or help SaaS incumbents? (40:41) Implications from OpenAI's for-profit conversion (49:57) Meta's impressive new AR glasses: is this the killer product for the age of AI? (1:09:05) Blue collar boom: trades are becoming more popular with young people as entry-level tech jobs dry up (1:20:55) Risk of nuclear war increasing Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://
Big Fed rate cuts, AI killing call centers, $50B govt boondoggle, VC's rough years, Trump/Kamala
(0:00) Bestie intros + All-In Summit recap (6:50) Fed cuts 50 bps: Economic tailwind, scary signal, or both? (17:35) AI is coming for call centers; how agent training works (33:41) US government wasting $50B for rural internet and EV charging stations (47:10) Reflecting on some rough years in VC: is the model broken? (1:07:18) Reacting to the first Trump/Kamala debate, what factors will make each candidate can win or lose the race Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason h
"Founder Mode," DOJ alleges Russian podcast op, Kamala flips proposals, Tech loses Section 230?
(0:00) Bestie intros! Jason goes "Founder Mode" (1:03) All-In Summit lineup announcement (9:01) Understanding "Founder Mode" (32:52) Bolt is back in the news as Ryan Breslow goes "Founder Mode" (52:28) Tech's Section 230 protections might be in danger after new ruling (1:08:45) DOJ charges two Russians with infiltrating US media company (1:22:42) Kamala's economic pivot Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: htt
In conversation with Reid Hoffman & Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
(0:00) Bestie intros: Buttons are back for fall (1:48) Reid Hoffman joins the show, reminiscing on PayPal stories with Sacks (7:52) State of AI: Nvidia, cluster buildouts, competition (19:51) OpenAI's corporate structure and thoughts on Elon's lawsuit (29:09) Inflection AI's deal structure with Microsoft, Lina Khan's impact on the tech industry (41:27) Reid's perspective on Kamala being hot swapped for Biden, funding groups that attempted to keep RFK Jr. off ballots (52:02) Reid's thoughts on gr
Massive jobs revision, Kamala's wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:59) Labor department revises down nonfarm payrolls by 818K (15:02) MIT publishes data from first incoming class post race-based admissions ban (36:16) Decision 2024: State of the race, Polls vs prediction markets (52:33) Tale of two tickets: Private sector vs. Public sector (1:05:19) Kamala Harris supports Biden's tax plans, including a 25% wealth tax on those with more than $100M in assets Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https:/
Break up Google, Starbucks CEO out, Kamala’s price controls, Boeing disaster, Kursk offensive
(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason gets a dish named after him! (5:27) DOJ considers breaking up Google after last week's antitrust ruling (28:10) Starbucks replaces CEO with Chipotle chief (45:37) Work culture, WFH's damage to informal mentorship (59:20) Election update: Harris flips the polls despite unclear policy; reports of price control focus (1:21:27) Boeing's Starliner disaster strands two astronauts in space (1:33:54) Russia/Ukraine update: Ukraine wins land in Kursk, Nordstream report Follow
Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz
(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason is back from COVID! (3:55) Yen carry trade unravels, Japan's unique economic issues (27:22) Recession odds growing, is the US already in a "lowkey recession"? (45:46) Why Buffett is selling Apple and massively increasing Berkshire's cash position (55:54) Major antitrust ruling against Google, predicting outcomes (1:22:41) Kamala picks Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitt
Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO
(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:38) Election update: Dems energize around Kamala, policy questions remain (19:33) Trump's NABJ interview: smart or risky? (33:07) Markets expect rate cut in September, but are we already in a recession? (40:58) AI buildout causing short-term volatility (45:46) Assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh: are we inching closer to war in the Middle East? (1:06:17) Bill Ackman withdraws Pershing Square USA IPO Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter
Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG
(0:00) Bestie intros: Nostracanis appears! (3:50) Wiz turns down Google's $23B offer, intends to IPO (13:30) CrowdStrike's rough week (17:51) Market update: Mag 7 sell-off? (22:47) Sam Altman's UBI study was a mixed bag (42:02) Succession IRL: Rupert Murdoch's children are in a legal battle over the future of his media empire (48:35) Biden out, Kamala in: Hot swap complete, speed-run primary subverted (1:03:08) Antisemitism rising, Josh Shapiro as a VP candidate (1:08:37) Sacks responds to smea
Trump assassination attempt, Secret Service failure, Inside the RNC, VC liquidity problem
(0:00) Bestie intros: Live from the RNC! (1:34) Reacting to the assassination attempt against President Trump (12:52) Impact of charged rhetoric (21:15) Secret Service's massive failure; institutional decay (37:02) Inside the RNC: Sacks breaks down his speech (41:16) Trump picks JD Vance as his running mate (58:52) All-In Summit scholarship applications are LIVE! (59:46) VC update: Exits creeping back, Sequoia's secondary offering for Stripe, Google in talks to acquire Wiz for $23B Apply for the
Biden chaos, Soft landing secured? AI sentiment turns bearish, French elections
(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:29) Macro picture: Soft landing secured? Rate cut on the horizon? Plus: partisan economic perception (20:48) AI sentiment turns bearish due to massive spend with little revenue (40:51) A16Z's 20K GPU cluster (46:41) Broad implications of France elections (1:06:10) Hot swap update: President Biden holds firm as backers flee, press corps chaos, speed-run primary chances Apply for All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath
Jonathan Haidt | The All-In Interview
(0:00) New format: The All-In Interview! (0:59) Jonathan Haidt joins Jason and Friedberg: broader themes of his work, gamification and supercharged social media (12:39) Understanding how humans are wired from an evolutionary biology perspective (27:22) Haidt's proposals to help younger generations (33:12) Linking themes and trends in Haidt's books with recent college protests (48:17) Explaining traditional liberalism and conservatism (56:55) Lightning Round: Parenting tips, Gen Z employees Jonat
Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
(0:00) Bestie Intros! (5:51) Democrats and their donors are falling out; President Biden to resign? Will VP Harris be the nominee? (26:22) Cognitive decline coverup, Bestie strategy for Dems (34:38) SCOTUS clarifies social media moderation (47:06) SCOTUS overturns Chevron, limiting the power of federal agencies (1:00:03) SCOTUS to hear case on restricting online porn in Texas (1:05:27) SCOTUS rules in favor of President Trump in immunity case Join/host a meetup: https://app.getriver.io/all-in Ap
Presidential Debate Reaction, Biden Hot Swap?, Tech unemployment, OpenAI considers for-profit & more
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:54) Debate recap and analysis: Hot swap incoming? (16:53) Subverting democracy, power grab, Democratic party shakeup (36:43) Why tech job postings are down significantly from pre-COVID levels (42:43) OpenAI considering for-profit conversion (54:11) The problem with safety-focused AI startups (1:03:20) EU charges Microsoft with antitrust violations for bundling Teams into Office Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/
In conversation with President Trump
(0:00) Bestie intros: Big house talk! (1:37) Economy: Regulation, taxes, tariffs, taming inflation, de-dollarization (12:02) Federal debt: growth, spend control, where to cut, role of energy, nuclear (20:22) Foreign policy: Ukraine/Russia (25:05) Foreign policy: Israel/Palestine (28:13) Abortion: Stance on a national ban (31:09) Foreign policy: China (32:33) COVID: Origins, Fauci relationship, deep state, bad deals (39:39) Border: Wall, immigration, H-1Bs, recruiting global talent (46:07) JFK Fi
Elon gets paid, Apple's AI pop, OpenAI revenue rip, Macro debate & Inside Trump Fundraiser
(0:00) Bestie intros: bringing up the energy! (8:48) Trump fundraiser recap (23:16) Elon's comp package approved by shareholders (40:12) Apple announces "Apple Intelligence" and ChatGPT deal at WWDC (50:17) OpenAI reportedly hits a $3.4B revenue run rate (1:05:26) Macro debate: State of the US economy? Follow Tim Naki: https://www.instagram.com/tim.naki Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on
DOJ targets Nvidia, Meme stock comeback, Trump fundraiser in SF, Apple/OpenAI, Texas stock market
(0:00) Besties intros! (2:10) Responding to recent media coverage (17:58) DOJ/FTC strike deal to target Nvidia, OpenAI, and Microsoft (32:40) Meme stocks are back: Keith Gill aka Roaring Kitty resurfaces, disclosing nine figure position in GameStop (58:36) Citadel and BlackRock back TXSE to take on NYSE and Nasdaq (1:02:34) Apple to announce OpenAI iPhone deal at WWDC (1:09:07) Science Corner: Alarming ocean temps continue, what to expect for hurricane season Follow the besties: https://twitter.
Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Jason's first show for his new production company (2:15) Why Sacks and Chamath are hosting a Trump fundraiser (18:40) House COVID investigation: findings, cover-up, what's next? (41:36) The Deep State Problem: unelected bureaucrats running three letter agencies for decades (53:04) Crypto Corner with Chamath (1:04:15) State of SaaS: Salesforce drops 20%, market teetering (1:20:10) Trump verdict: guilty on 34 counts of falsifying business records (1:37:36) Are we seeing an AI
Scarlett Johansson vs OpenAI, Nvidia's trillion-dollar problem, the "vibecession," plastic in our balls
(0:00) Bestie intros: Recapping "General AI Hospital" (2:46) Scarlett Johansson vs. OpenAI (14:37) OpenAI's novel off-boarding agreements, ex-employee equity problem, and safety team resignations (25:35) Nvidia crushes earnings again, but it faces a trillion-dollar problem (40:05) Understanding why economic sentiment is so negative among US citizens despite positive data (1:02:36) New study shows plastics in testicles Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason http
GPT-4o launches, Glue demo, Ohalo breakthrough, Druck's Argentina bet, did Google kill Perplexity?
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Recapping Phil Hellmuth's birthday weekend (7:38) OpenAI launches GPT-4o: better, faster, cheaper (29:40) Sacks demos Glue: How AI unlocked his Slack killer (40:12) Friedberg walks through his major breakthrough at Ohalo (1:01:35) Stanley Druckenmiller bets on Argentina and Javier Milei: strategy, roadmap for the US (1:13:54) Jason's bet on Athena, how AI will change company building (1:22:21) Google launches AI summaries in search Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/ch
In conversation with Sam Altman
(0:00) Welcoming Sam Altman to the show! (2:28) What's next for OpenAI: GPT-5, open-source, reasoning, what an AI-powered iPhone competitor could look like, and more (21:56) How advanced agents will change the way we interface with apps (33:01) Fair use, creator rights, why OpenAI has stayed away from the music industry (42:02) AI regulation, UBI in a post-AI world (52:23) Sam breaks down how he was fired and re-hired, why he has no equity, dealmaking on behalf of OpenAI, and how he organizes th
In conversation with Sheryl Sandberg, plus open-source AI gene editing explained
(0:00) Welcoming Sheryl Sandberg and remembering Dave Goldberg (11:10) What led Sheryl to get involved with "Screams Before Silence"; reaction to sexual violence on and after 10/7 (28:18) Paths forward, documentary decisions, involvement of women in protests (53:03) Post-interview debrief (59:45) Science Corner: Open-source AI gene editing with OpenCRISPR-1 Follow Sheryl: https://twitter.com/sherylsandberg Watch Screams Before Silence: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAr9oGSXgak&rco=1 Follow the
Meta's scorched earth approach to AI, Tesla's future, TikTok bill, FTC bans noncompetes, wealth tax
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Reservation Tips! (5:20) Meta goes scorched earth in AI, why the stock was down despite beating on earnings (22:20) Tesla's roadmap, ranking the company's highest-upside bets outside of cars for the next 10 years (47:25) FTC bans noncompetes: impact on startups and company formation (1:00:33) Besties reminisce on their encounters with Steve Jobs (1:10:25) TikTok "divest-or-ban" bill is signed into law: Will China comply? What's it worth without the algorithm? Will a deal ge
Google fires protestors, NPR chaos, Humane's AI Pin, Startup tax crisis, sports betting scandal
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Chamath recaps the Breakthrough Prize Ceremony, "High IQ foods" (9:49) All-In Summit update, Poker styles of Andrew Robl, Jason Koon, and Phil Hellmuth (14:38) Google fires protestors (35:08) Chaos and culture wars at NPR (40:43) Humane's AI Pin: Marques Brownlee's review, the Ex-Apple issue, polarizing reactions (1:02:28) Startup tax crisis: How a recent provision upended R&D deductions (1:12:39) Sports betting scandal: NBA player Jontay Porter banned for life, explosion
E174: Inflation stays hot, AI disclosure bill, Drone warfare, defense startups & more
Register for the All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co (0:00) Bestie Intros: J-Cal is out this week! (0:57) All-In Summit 2024 Announcement (3:10) Nvidia's market position, Collapse of Western cities, State of the cloud market (17:30) Inflation stays hotter than expected for the third straight month: chance of a HIKE instead of a cut? (45:41) AI disclosure bill: important step for creators or unnecessary? (1:06:27) Drone warfare: The future of war, Silicon Valley's defense decision Follo
E173: Google buying HubSpot? FTX depositors not made whole, AI job fears, Ukraine joining NATO
(0:00) Meet All-In's new CEO: Jon Haile! (7:13) FTX Correction: Depositors are not getting "made whole" (19:26) Trump Media updates (27:12) Google considering bid to acquire HubSpot: Price, relevancy, feasible with regulators? Should Google investors be worried or excited? (49:20) AI job loss fears go mainstream, potential for autonomous domestic robots in next five years (1:11:17) Blinken says Ukraine will join NATO: WW3 risk, election implications Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamat
E172: SBF gets 25 years, Trump's meme stock, RFK Jr picks VP, Biden's 2025 budget & more
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Late night poker snacks! (2:33) SBF sentenced to 25 years (16:41) Trump's meme SPAC: modern trading card, protest vote, or something else? (34:59) RFK Jr. selects Nicole Shanahan as VP (47:46) Biden's budget plan for 2025: how to confront America's existential crisis? (1:11:59) Science Corner: Why the price of cocoa has skyrocketed! (1:16:41) Movie talk and wrap! Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https:/
E171: DOJ sues Apple, AI arms race, Reddit IPO, Realtor settlement & more
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Don't spoil Dune 2! (0:55) DOJ drops antitrust suit on Apple (23:36) Apple reportedly in talks with Google and OpenAI to power AI features on iPhone (32:17) NAR settlement: how it impacts residential real estate going forward (44:30) Microsoft's "Shadow Acquihire" of Inflection AI (48:43) How the besties would deploy $40B in AI as a sovereign wealth fund (1:01:57) Reddit IPO: is risk-on back? (1:07:17) Science Corner(s): Universe expansion, first pig kidney transplant in hu
E170: Tech's Vibe Shift, TikTok ban debate, Vertical AI boom, Florida bans lab-grown meat & more
(0:00) Bestie Intros! (1:02) Friedberg's newest family members (7:13) Tech's vibe shift: More candidness, less PR-speak from top CEOs (22:47) OpenAI CTO slips up on training data: did OpenAI train Sora on YouTube videos? (28:58) Vertical AI startups flourishing: Cognition launches Devin, what will this do to startups? (40:38) TikTok debate: Is the new bill to ban or force a sale of TikTok fair or potentially overreaching due to its vagueness? (1:22:10) Florida on the verge of banning lab-grown m
E169: Elon sues OpenAI, Apple's decline, TikTok ban, Bitcoin $100K?, Science corner: Microplastics
(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:55) Elon sues OpenAI: complex structure, tax issues, damages, past comparables (37:06) OpenAI's focus on AGI, different interpretations of AGI in tech (44:46) Groq update with Sunny Madra! (49:53) Have we hit peak Apple?: Losing regulatory battles, iPhone stagnation, Buffett starts trimming (1:06:25) TikTok ban: New proposed House bill would force ByteDance to divest TikTok, or ban the app outright (1:21:08) Bitcoin hits new all-time high: impact of ETFs and an upcoming
E168: Can Google save itself? AI takes over Customer Support, Reddit IPO teardown
(0:00) Bestie intros! Jato Caelin (1:36) Groq update!: The key metric developer platforms should care about (5:55) Google's make or break moment: Should Sundar be fired, AI safety team's power, RIF potential, stock pressure, and more (29:17) How bloated HR departments slow down companies (40:15) Google's licensing deals: Is this TAC 2.0? How can Reddit capitalize on its data? (53:50) Klarna's huge AI innovation: AI disruption, open-source benefits, a new class of billion-dollar startups (1:13:06
E167: Nvidia smashes earnings (again), Google's Woke AI disaster, Groq's LPU breakthrough & more
(0:00) Bestie intros: Banana boat! (2:34) Nvidia smashes expectations again: understanding its terminal value and bull/bear cases in the context of the history of the internet (27:26) Groq's big week, training vs. inference, LPUs vs. GPUs, how to succeed in deep tech (49:37) Google's AI disaster: Is Google too woke to function as search gets disrupted by AI? (1:17:17) War Corner with Sacks Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks h
E166: Mind-blowing AI Video: OpenAI launches Sora + Is Biden too old? Tucker/Putin interview & more
(0:00) Sacks Tequila Tasting! (1:19) Nvidia's market cap surpasses Google, ARM's stock rips, Masa's big comeback (15:36) Mind-blowing Sora demos: breaking down OpenAI's new text-to-video model (51:24) The risks of companies issuing stock option loans (1:04:57) Biden's cognitive decline, should the Democrats find a replacement? Plus, third party viability (1:31:46) Takeaways from Tucker's Putin interview Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com
E165: Vision Pro: use or lose? Meta vs Snap, SaaS recovery, AI investing, rolling real estate crisis
(0:00) Bestie intros! (2:08) Apple Vision Pro breakdown (20:46) Meta vs Snap: god-king CEO, dependent on ad revenue, drastically different performance (32:53) Positive signals indicating a big SaaS bounceback (41:06) VCs are split into three camps on how to approach AI investing (1:12:16) Rolling real estate crisis continues Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/th
E164: Zuck’s Senate apology, Elon's comp package voided, crony capitalism, Reddit IPO, drone attack
(0:00) Bestie intros! The guys try the Apple Vision Pro (8:24) Zuckerberg apologizes to parents in hearing, Section 230 under fire from child safety reforms (36:19) Delaware judge voids Elon's comp package, understanding Fortune 500 country club compensation (1:08:26) Reddit reportedly targeting $5B valuation in potential March IPO (1:16:17) Drone attack, risks of greater Middle East conflict, failures of the military industrial complex Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twi
E163: Market rips, Media RIFs, Texas defies Biden, Fintech reckoning, ARkStorm 2.0 & more
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:37) Markets rip on strong economic data (17:05) Media's broken business model, death spiral (35:47) Texas defies the Biden Admin on the Southern Border after SCOTUS votes in favor of the federal government (1:04:18) Ethics of publishing non-public financial data (1:13:07) Fintech's reckoning (1:26:27) ARkStorm 2.0 Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://
E162: Live from Davos! Milei goes viral, Adam Neumann's headwinds, streaming's broken model, microplastics & more
(0:00) Live from the WEF: "Oh Davos, Kumbaya" (4:25) Why Davos lost its luster, plus major moments: Milei's speech, Jamie Dimon on Trump (21:53) Boeing's regulatory capture leading to negative impact on consumer safety (35:16) Adam Neumann facing familiar challenges at his new startup, Flow (50:24) Evaluating "tech-enabled businesses" vs. traditional businesses that are utilizing technology (1:00:47) Streaming at a crossroads: is the business model broken? (1:20:51) Science Corner: New study on
E161: US strikes Houthis, market instability, Q1 rate cuts in doubt, Carta's major mishap, DEI
(0:00) Bestie intros! Friedberg's jumper (1:21) US and its allies strike Houthi targets in Yemen (16:24) Markets: Q1 rate cut looks unlikely, December CPI print slightly hot, soft landing in jeopardy? (29:46) Carta's mistake, why verticalized SaaS tools could be in trouble, Chamath's 8090 incubator (51:02) Why and how Sacks is taking on Slack, where Carta went wrong with founders (1:05:17) DEI debate: cultural significance, real solutions, Motte-and-bailey Follow the besties: https://twitter.c
E160: 2024 Predictions! Markets, tech, politics, and more
(0:00) Bestie intros! Pasty Preppers (4:17) 2024's Biggest Political Winner (13:37) 2024's Biggest Political Loser (19:41) 2024's Biggest Business Winner (32:08) 2024's Biggest Business Loser (37:31) 2024's Biggest Business Deal (41:15) 2024's Most Contrarian Belief (51:18) 2024's Best-Performing Asset (56:46) 2024's Worst-Performing Asset (1:06:14) 2024's Most Anticipated Trend (1:12:28) 2024's Most Anticipated Media (1:22:28) Emotional condition heading into 2024 Follow the besties: https://tw
E159: The Bestie Awards! Recapping the best and worst of 2023
(0:00) Welcome to the fourth annual Bestie Awards! (4:14) Biggest Political Winner (10:26) Biggest Political Loser (15:14) Biggest Political Surprise (23:02) Biggest Business Winner (26:50) Biggest Business Loser (30:32) Biggest Business Surprise (35:57) Best Science Breakthrough (40:30) Biggest Flash in the Pan (42:34) Best CEO (44:53) Best Investor (47:07) Best Turnaround (50:04) Worst Company (54:21) Best Meme (56:53) Best New Tech (59:57) Best Trend (1:02:12) Worst Trend (1:07:42) Favorite M
E158: Global trade disrupted, Adobe/Figma canceled, realtors sued, Trump blocked
(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason comes in hot, All-In's new Chairman Dictator, Holiday party recap, and more (7:54) Understanding the trade disruption in the Red Sea: Houthis, global impact on trade, the dicey geopolitical situation, and how this compares to COVID freight prices with Flexport's Ryan Petersen (35:55) Major M&A deals called off, downstream impacts of a hawkish regulatory environment (54:15) The new era of startup building: less capital raised, less overhead costs, more profitable, smal
E157: Epic legal win, OpenAI licensing deals, FCC targets Elon, Alex Jones reinstated & more
(0:00) Bestie intros: Mullets! (2:56) Recapping Friedberg's holiday party (9:29) Jury rules in favor of Epic Games over Google: How to handle the app store duopoly? (23:21) OpenAI inks deal with Axel Springer (35:02) FCC cancels Starlink subsidy, dissenting FCC Commissioner says federal agencies are targeting Elon Musk on Biden's orders (58:25) Alex Jones reinstated on X (1:22:59) Sacks receives an unlikely apology (1:27:32) Besties take two questions from the audience Follow the besties: https:
E156: Ivy League antisemitism, macro, SaaS recovery, Gemini, Figma deal delay + big Friedberg update
(0:00) Bestie intro! (3:12) Ivy League antisemitism hearings (21:55) State of the economy for consumers (34:55) Signs of life in SaaS, VC shutdowns, and more (44:59) Why Friedberg chose to take the role of CEO at Ohalo, and the dearth of great leadership talent in tech (1:01:07) Google announces Gemini: Why this is a notable moment for Google, industry impact, and more (1:11:50) Adobe's $20B Figma acquisition has stalled out due to the UK's CMA Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath htt
E155: In conversation with Tucker Carlson, plus OpenAI chaos explained
(0:00) Bestie intros! Tucker Carlson joins the show (0:59) Tucker's departure from Fox News (10:49) The state of American society and the importance of rediscovering national alignment (30:53) Why prosperity begets self-destruction, climate change, immigration (59:48) Thoughts on the current political landscape and presidential candidates (1:09:13) Media control, the importance of free speech platforms, Tucker's future, reacting to Elon's viral moment at the NYT's DealBook Summit (1:33:56) Post-
E154: Presidential Candidate Dean Phillips in conversation with the Besties + Xi's SF visit & more
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:25) Democratic Presidential Candidate Dean Phillips shares his business background (13:11) Dean's time in Congress: witnessing legal corruption, thoughts on Biden's mental state, advantages of not being a career politician (29:10) Foreign Policy: Russia/Ukraine, Israel/Hamas, China/US de-escalation, how he'd handle TikTok, immigration, border security (56:08) US fiscal situation, healthcare, defense spending, restoring cross-party common ground (1:19:30) Post-interview d
E153: In conversation with Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Sacks keeps receipts! (1:14) Jared Kushner joins the show: background, Trump's campaign validation (13:12) State of Israel vs Hamas, escalation risks (23:04) Historical context around Israel's relationship with the Arab world, understanding the modern Middle East (38:55) Failed solutions, Israel's response, paths to stability (1:04:54) GOP debate, establishment blind spots, pragmatic politics, tribal infighting (1:15:36) Improving macro picture, potential impact on 2024 ele
E152: Real estate chaos, WeWork bankruptcy, Biden regulates AI, Ukraine's “Cronkite Moment” & more
(0:00) Bestie intros, All-In CEO talk, and Chamath's research product (10:49) Ukraine has its “Cronkite Moment” (16:56) Market outlook: are we in for a Q4 rally? (22:05) CRE chaos: SF's firesales, understanding the second-order effects from CRE debtholders (41:38) WeWork will reportedly file for bankruptcy as soon as next week, Sacks makes the case for a turnaround (46:42) Biden's Executive Order on AI: end game, regulatory capture, confusion over clarity as a strategy (1:08:07) Silicon Valley's
E151: WW3 risk, War with Iran?, 4.9% GDP, startup failures growing, new Speaker & more
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:16) WW3 risk, is WSJ trying to escalate US vs Iran? (22:02) Nuclear risks (33:28) Best case scenarios for de-escalation (40:34) Murky macro picture: Main Street disconnects from Wall Street, startup shutdowns, challenged returns (1:09:14) Cruise robotaxi accident update (1:12:59) Hurricane Otis's rapid progression and the second-order effects on US coastal communities (1:24:47) Jason reflects on his time in the Middle East (1:31:09) New House Speaker and Trump case updat
E150: Israel/Gaza escalating or not? EU censorship regime, Penn donors revolt, GLP-1 hype cycle
(0:00) Bestie intros (0:49) State of Israel/Gaza: Information wars, delayed ground war, domestic political pressures (23:20) Understanding Israel's political dynamics, feelings throughout the Middle East, why a two-state solution has failed in the past (42:56) Harvard and Penn megadonors cut ties (50:43) The EU's DSA: consumer protection or censorship regime? (1:06:05) GLP-1: the second biggest hype cycle of 2023 Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https:
E149: Hamas terror attacks in Israel: fallout, reaction, next steps
(0:00) Opening statements on the Hamas terror attacks in Israel (3:49) Contextualizing the attacks and the fallout so far (19:52) Trump administration's wins, Kushner's competence, path to a two-state solution (28:51) Letter from Harvard student organizations: understanding the reaction and fallout (46:53) The Biden Admin's next steps, electing excellence in leadership Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/f
E148: McCarthy ousted, border chaos, Cruise's robotaxi "accident" & more
(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason's operation! (1:57) Airtable correction (5:03) McCarthy ousted as Speaker of the House, what the eight defecting Republicans are looking for, solving the omnibus spending problem (25:20) US Southern Border: Understanding the situation based on data (44:39) Cruise robotaxi "accident" in SF, lack of risk tolerance limiting technological progress in the West (1:09:09) JSX facing potential regulatory capture from incumbent airlines and Friedberg's trip to The Sphere Follo
E147: TED goes woke, Canada's Nazi blunder, AI adds vision, plus: who owns OpenAI?
(0:00) Bestie intros with Coleman Hughes (1:12) Coleman's experience with TED, Understanding TED's ideological shift (15:11) Focusing on class instead of race when enacting policies, reaction to Coleman's talk, institutional takeovers (44:01) "When Virtue Signalling Goes Wrong": Canadian parliament cheers for a Nazi (1:04:21) OpenAI's big week, informed speculation on Sam Altman's actual ownership of OpenAI (1:12:39) The next evolution of AI: multimodal and consumer hardware Follow the besties:
E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more
(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:05) GOP Primary update: polling, acceptable candidates, tentpole issues (11:56) All-In Summit 2023 recap (24:12) IPOs and M&A heat up: Arm, Instacart, and Klaviyo go public, Cisco acquires Splunk for $28B, but did the "great reopening" fall short? (42:34) Did the Fed break the VC model? How LPs will evaluate fund managers going forward (50:45) Breaking down Instacart and Klaviyo's businesses (1:01:12) Revaluing Airtable and the path forward for ZIRP-era unicorns (1:13:14
E145: Presidential Candidate Chris Christie in conversation with the Besties
(0:00) Besties welcome former NJ Governor and Republican Presidential Candidate Chris Christie! (2:14) US debt crisis, cutting entitlements (14:03) Level-setting on foreign policy (25:28) Ukraine / Russia: culpability, where to go from here (36:47) US defense budget, optimizing spend, zero-based budgeting, influence peddling (50:01) Immigration policy, how each party co-opts the issue (1:02:24) Fentanyl crisis in SF, LA, and NYC, incarceration and criminal justice reform, political activism in l
E144: Biden targets Elon, BRICS challenges the West, Tiger hit piece & more
(0:00) Chamath's big poker trip (4:32) Addressing the "in the arena" comments (7:16) Biden administration targets Elon's businesses (21:58) Tiger Global claims disgruntled ex-employee circulated fake hit piece (27:51) BRICS adds six new members, Sacks breaks down some potential advantages of the new BRICS (40:46) BRICS ultimate goals, India's key position (51:54) How energy independence plays into the future geopolitical order (1:00:22) All-In Summit party talk! Follow the besties: https://twitt
E143: Nvidia smashes earnings, Arm walks the plank, M&A market, Vivek dominates GOP debate & more
(0:00) Bestie intros: Friedberg's interview with NASA Astronaut Woody Hoburg, live from the ISS! (2:58) All-In Tequila update (10:04) Nvidia smashes earnings, GPU market outlook (37:39) Arm files for IPO: positive sign or plank walk? Plus: State of the IPO market (49:51) Sacks on current investable metrics right now in VC (55:33) GOP Debate breakdown: Vivek's statement, DeSantis's strategy, Haley & Christie solidify positions (1:39:46) Vivek's comments on the Climate Agenda (1:47:07) Prigozhin c
E142: "Rich Men North of Richmond" hits #1, upward mobility, real estate capital crunch, Trump RICO
(0:00) Sacks' big night (2:56) Sacks on spirits (14:27) "Rich Men North of Richmond" goes viral and debuts at #1 on Apple Music, upward mobility issues in America, solutions (53:01) Michael Burry's bet against the market: overblown? (58:33) Real estate capital crunch (1:12:26) Trump's newest indictment (1:23:31) What Adyen's big drop means for Stripe's valuation Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedber
E141: State of Series A's, VC dry powder, IPO window opens + more with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner
(0:00) Bestie intros: Friedberg's bad haircut (1:17) Welcome BG^2! Biography recommendations and film talk (22:27) VC market update: State of Series A's (33:43) Dry powder misconceptions, marking incentives (48:57) IPO window starting to open, IPO down rounds, incentives to go public (1:03:17) Cyclical venture cycles, managing distributions, benchmarking VC performance vs public market (1:22:26) Tragic Maui wildfires, extreme temperatures (1:26:11) Macro picture: inflation cools, deflation risk?
E140: LK-99, Sclerotic establishments, Fitch downgrades US debt, Trump indicted... again
(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:53) LK-99 breakdown (24:39) Funding landscape for breakthrough science, sclerotic establishments, boomer incumbents (46:04) Fitch downgrades US debt rating (1:09:12) Trump's newest indictment Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_s
E139: Recapping Chamath's wedding, VC surplus, unions vs Hollywood, room-temp superconductors & more
(0:00) All-In in Italy!: Recapping Chamath's wedding (11:55) Discourse around obesity and weight loss in the US (21:56) Are there too many VCs? (38:18) Actors/Writers unions vs. Corporate Hollywood, endgame for the modern Hollywood machine (54:07) Equity participations vs. unions, ownership upside vs. downside protections (1:05:04) Potential impact of room-temp superconductors Special thanks to our Italian audio/video team!: https://twitter.com/domdalmatico https://www.mattiacaruso.com Follo
E138: Presidential Candidate Vivek Ramaswamy in conversation with the Besties
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:08) Vivek's background, corporate political / ESG distractions, why he's running for president (19:16) Energy policy, unemployment work requirements, immigration (30:24) Foreign policy: How to handle Ukraine/Russia and Taiwan/China (44:46) Media strategy, Silicon Valley Bank's implosion (54:09) Thoughts on Trump (1:06:16) Campaign strategy, establishment appeal (1:14:10) Social issues: Abolishing the DOE, abortion, trans rights (1:29:31) Defense budget, Military Industri
E137: Inflation cools, market rips, Ripple/MSFT beat regulators, NATO summit, cocktails of youth
(0:00) Addressing the podcast hack (2:55) Macro picture: inflation cools, what happens to rates, market sentiment, soft landing, tech run-up (20:34) Consumer sentiment: demand crash coming? (30:31) BREAKING: Ripple gets big win in SEC case, token rips (36:33) Lina Khan's losing streak, "spray and pray" strategy, overzealous regulators (51:08) EV supply/demand mismatch (1:04:58) Fraught NATO summit, ammo crisis, Sweden joins NATO (1:18:52) Science Corner: New paper on reversing cellular aging Fol
E136 Hacking the pod, Threads launches, Fed minutes, immigration debate, balloon farce, heart health
(0:00) We hacked the pod! Jcal is on vaca (5:34) Meta launches Threads (17:15) Chat AI interest in decline? (28:36) Fed meeting minutes, economic data and outlook, and EU risk (56:07) Florida Senate Bill 1718, jobs, and immigration debate (1:21:48) Chinese balloon: political farce? (1:31:47) Gerstner Science Corner: preventative heart health Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: htt
E135: Wagner rebels, SCOTUS ends AA, AI M&A, startups gone bad, spacetime warps & more
(0:00) Bestie intros: Friedberg fills in as moderator! (2:45) Wagner Group rebellion (23:15) SCOTUS strikes down Affirmative Action (51:03) Databricks acquires MosaicML for $1.3B, Inflection raises $1.3B (1:09:35) IRL shuts down after faking 95% of users, Byju's seeks to raise emergency $1B as founder control in jeopardy (1:26:38) Science Corner: Understanding the NANOGrav findings Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://
E134: Ukraine counteroffensive, China tensions, COVID Patient Zero, RFK Jr reaction & more
(0:00) Bestie intros!: Bad conference lunches, hair fluffers, and focus groups (12:36) Zuck vs. Elon cage match (15:50) Ukraine / Russia updates: underwhelming counteroffensive, reported peace deal rejection (33:25) Blinken's China visit, Biden's "dictator" gaffe, Taiwan's future (51:49) RFK Jr's Rogan appearance, big pharma's impact on media via ad spend, COVID origins (1:09:59) Secondary market for depressed startup shares heats up (1:16:36) Ford to receive $9.2B federal loan to build out thre
E133: Market melt-up, IPO update, AI startups overheat, Reddit revolts & more with Brad Gerstner
(0:00) Bestie intros: Chamath flies public + Poker recap (8:12) FED pauses hikes momentarily, IPO window status, state of the market (25:10) Film, cold plunge, and sauna talk (33:25) AI's impact on tech and growth stocks surging, Google's position, AI's "$20T question" (50:27) Jay Trading beating the market, how Brad formulates and sizes public bets, how GPs should handle distributions, CalPERS mistakes (1:04:22) Reddit moderators in revolt and how this issue might reshape the future of social a
E132: SEC goes after crypto giants, Sequoia splits, LIV/PGA, Messi's deal + LIVE Q&A!
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:48) Why RFK Jr. is resonating (7:52) US crypto crackdown: action against Binance & Coinbase (26:08) Sequoia splits off its China and India/SE Asia businesses (41:55) PGA merges with LIV, Lionel Messi's revolutionary deal with the MLS, Apple, and Adidas (56:16) Ukraine update, Tucker on Twitter (1:02:20) LIVE Q&A from Angel Summit in Napa! Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedbe
E131: 2024 Fantasy President picks, debt ceiling agreement, Dollar dominance & more
(0:00) Bestie intros + Vegas recap! (4:01) Sacks donation strategy, Biden's uncomfortable truth, mental acuity concerns, fantasy picks for president! (30:43) Debt ceiling agreement, US debt situation, is USD dominance in trouble? (1:11:34) Book banning follow-up (1:19:10) Nvidia going for a vertically integrated monopoly in AI hardware (1:26:31) Biden's fall, populism in both parties Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks http
E130: DeSantis's Twitter Spaces, debt ceiling, Nvidia rips, state of VC, startup failure & more
(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:03) Sacks goes behind the scenes on the DeSantis Twitter Spaces experience (28:18) Debt ceiling, government spending, and lack of accountability (40:44) Ways to force more government accountability, who really wins from higher taxes (57:46) Nvidia up 30% due to massive Q2 guidance, rebuilding and upgrading cloud infrastructure, understanding phases of value creation in technology (1:06:20) Adobe's new AI product, why they might have overpaid for Figma (1:11:43) State of
E129: Sam Altman plays chess with regulators, AI's "nuclear" potential, big pharma bundling & more
(0:00) Bestie intros!: Reddit Performance Reviews (5:14) Quick AIS 2023 update (6:27) AI Senate hearing: Sam Altman playing chess with regulators, open-source viability (21:25) Regulatory capture angle, "preemptive regulation," how AI relates to nuclear, insider insights from the White House's AI summit (43:33) Elon hires new Twitter CEO (48:46) Lina Khan moves to block Amgen's $27.8B acquisition of Horizon Therapeutics (1:02:30) Apple's AR goggles are reportedly being unveiled at WWDC in early
E128: Google enters AI wars, Druck’s warning, Trump crushes CNN & more
(0:00) All-In Summit 2023 announcement! (3:10) Google IO releases, updated Bard demo, fighting the innovator's dilemma (18:33) AI regulation updates (23:41) Druckenmiller's warning, macro overview (40:22) RFK Jr. feedback, pushback, conspiracy accusations (49:52) Trump dominates CNN "Town Hall," Trump vs. Biden potential (1:10:24) Jason reflects on his trip to the Middle East, and the besties wrap the show! Register for All-In Summit 2023: https://summit.allinpodcast.co Follow the besties: http
E127: Presidential Candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in conversation with the Besties
(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:49) Jason and Sacks intro Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (3:46) Foreign policy: Ukraine / Russia (17:17) Foreign policy: Taiwan / China (18:57) Government spending: Fiscal responsibility, where to cut budget, debt ceiling (33:22) US Govt Intelligence Agencies: "Deep State," increasing accountability, "agency capture" (46:04) COVID: mishandling, more "agency capture," vaccine policy (55:10) Broader thoughts on vaccines in general (1:05:54) Energy policy: thoughts on nuclear (1:15:
E126: Big Tech blow-out, Powell’s recession warning, lab-grown meat, RFK Jr shakes up race & more
(0:00) Bestie intro! (1:10) Google's mixed bag, Big tech leaves the growth phase, macro picture (24:21) AI update: new projects, global enablement, early adoption (37:38) SF CRE continues to collapse, Gotham City update (47:52) Lab-grown meat: possibilities, potential impact, and major constraints (1:06:47) Quick earnings button and RFK Jr's presidential bid Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg ht
E125: SpaceX launch, Fox News settlement, "Zombie-corn" exodus to AI, late-stage implosion
(0:00) Antonio Gracias and Gavin Baker join to discuss SpaceX's Starship launch (28:58) Fox News settles with Dominion Voting Systems, will pay $787M (40:38) AI update: Reddit to start charging for training data, how the next startup bubble will materialize, navigating the AI "dust storm" (53:49) Why AI is challenging/exciting to invest in right now, late-stage implosion, pay-to-play rounds (1:21:26) Is crypto dead in America? Plus DeSantis vs Trump polling update and wrap Follow the besties: ht
E124: AutoGPT's massive potential and risk, AI regulation, Bob Lee/SF update
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:49) Understanding AutoGPTs (23:57) Generative AI's rapid impact on art, images, video, and eventually Hollywood (37:38) How to regulate AI? (1:12:35) Bob Lee update, recent SF chaos Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg I
E123: Trump indictment, de-dollarization, should VCs back Chinese AI? RIP Bob Lee
(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:12) Trump indictment (16:52) De-dollarization: What's real and what's overblown? (39:35) Debt ceiling vote predictions (56:36) US investors indirectly backing Chinese AI startups: should it be allowed? Saudi Arabia discloses VC investments as institutional US LPs cycle out of venture (1:10:02) RIP Bob Lee, fixing San Francisco Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow th
E122: Is AI the next great computing platform? ChatGPT vs. Google, containing AGI & RESTRICT Act
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:31) Joe Manchin calls out Biden on IRA flip-flop (7:40) Sacks writes GPT-4-powered blog post, OpenAI launches ChatGPT plugins (26:31) Will generative AI be more important than mobile and the internet itself? Making the case for both Google and OpenAI to win generative AI (50:19) Reaching and containing AGI, AI's impact on job destruction (1:16:35) RESTRICT Act's bait and switch Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.co
E121: Macro update, Fed hike, CRE debt bubble, Balaji's Bitcoin bet, TikTok's endgame & more
(0:00) Bestie intro! (2:58) Fed hikes 25 bps (32:35) Balaji bets on Bitcoin $1M, predictions for hyperinflation, crypto crackdown in the US (54:27) Should the commercial real estate sector receive a similar treatment as regional banks? Math and solutions on 100% FDIC insurance (1:16:04) TikTok CEO grilled by US lawmakers: What is TikTok's endgame in the US? (1:25:46) Relativity Space shoutout and bestie wrap! Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twi
E120: Banking crisis and the great VC reset
(0:00) Bestie intro! (1:35) Recapping the events of the past week (5:39) Understanding the banking crisis (32:55) Solving the global debt problem, righting the ship (54:20) VC market update: Founders Fund splits its eighth fund in two, Sequoia's reported returns, YC cuts its growth-stage team (1:08:36) Science corner: Superconductors (1:24:56) DeSantis update, Ukraine spending run rate, bestie wrap! Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/D
E119: Silicon Valley Bank implodes: startup extinction event, contagion risk, culpability, and more
(0:00) Bestie intro! (1:57) Overview of the SVB collapse and bank run (17:53) Who or what is to blame? Debating venture debt (37:11) Contagion risk, second- and third-order effects, government backstops (1:00:36) What does this mean for the VC industry? Silicon Valley panic cycle, advice for founders Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg https://twitter.com/altcap Follow the pod: https://twitter.co
E118: AI FOMO frenzy, macro update, Fox vs Dominion, US vs China & more with Brad Gerstner
(0:00) Bestie intros! (6:47) The VC FOMO frenzy in AI (25:22) Current LP mindset, VCs leaving boards, startup cram downs and mark downs (37:23) Macro update: inflation not done, weaker earnings, interest rates (52:01) Marc Benioff channels his inner Elon Musk, the stock-based compensation boom (1:11:59) Fox News facing defamation lawsuit over false election fraud claims, TikTok ban heats up, competition with China (1:34:33) Ukraine update: China's peace proposal, US strategy (1:46:34) Harvard le
E117: Did Stripe miss its window? Plus: VC market update, AI comes for SaaS, Trump's savvy move
(0:00) Bestie intro: Jason's Japan trip! (1:04) Stripe's precarious situation: Did it miss its window? Breaking down its $4B tax bill, slowing growth curve, enterprise vs SMB customers, scalability issues, and more (23:07) Lessons for founders: How ZIRP can skew CAC and LTV calculations, burn multiple (29:40) VC market update: ZIRP mistakes, VC as a "must-have" asset class for LPs, how the 2021 vintage can be saved (39:05) AI's outsized impact on SaaS and real-world businesses (55:16) Advice fro
E116: Toxic out-of-control trains, regulators, and AI
(0:00) Bestie intros, poker recap, charity shoutouts! (8:34) Toxic Ohio train derailment (25:30) Lina Khan's flawed strategy and rough past few weeks as FTC Chair; rewriting Section 230 (57:27) AI chatbot bias and problems: Bing Chat's strange answers, jailbreaking ChatGPT, and more DONATE: https://www.humanesociety.org/news/going-big-beagles https://www.beastphilanthropy.org/donate Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https:/
E115: The AI Search Wars: Google vs. Microsoft, Nordstream report, State of the Union
0:00 Bestie intro! 1:49 Report about US involvement in the destruction of Nordstream pipelines, breaking away from the military-industrial complex 28:26 Bestie refresh! 33:13 The AI Search Wars: Microsoft presses hard, Google's rough week 45:06 Sundar's next move: How should Google counterpunch? Google's troubled business model, will we see successful lawsuits over training data? 1:12:41 Will generative AI commodify enterprise SaaS? If so, what happens to VC returns? 1:31:14 Disappointing State
E114: Markets update: whipsaw macro picture, big tech, startup mass extinction event, VC reckoning
(0:00) Bestie intro! (1:15) Macro picture update: 0.25% raise, jobs rip up, wage growth continues to slow (17:52) Interest rates impact on mega-cap company creation (33:58) Mass extinction event coming to startups, reckoning for VCs, venture debt issues (1:02:33) Adani's potential fraud, role of short sellers Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod http
E113: DOJ tries to break up Google, vaccine questions, Ukraine escalation & more
(0:00) David Sacks does bestie intros! (2:49) DOJ sues Google over ads business (23:09) EU probes Microsoft over Slack complaint based on "bundling" Teams (40:27) Pfizer CEO grilled at Davos, studies questioning vaccine effectiveness (1:12:14) Ukraine escalation: US to send tanks and warms to Crimea invasion, reconstruction costs, and more (1:22:39) Science Corner: Will we soon be able to reverse aging? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.c
E112: Is Davos a grift? Plus: globalist mishaps, debt ceilings, TikTok's endgame & more
(0:00) Bestie intro, who gets credit for the podcast? (6:27) Top candidates for the Republican nominee in 2024: DeSantis, Youngkin, Haley; major 2024 issues, balancing the budget (19:13) WEF in Davos: is it a grift? Somber mood, globalist mishaps, evaluating the US free trade policy (39:51) Rebuilding infrastructure while avoiding the debt ceiling, immigration reform (1:00:42) TikTok's endgame in the US: banned, spun out, or something else? (1:17:22) Pharma meets AI, best AI business models Foll
E111: Microsoft to invest $10B in OpenAI, generative AI hype, America's over-classification problem
(0:00) Bestie intro! (0:43) Reacting to Slate's article on All-In (11:18) SF business owner caught spraying homeless person on camera (29:22) Microsoft to invest $10B into OpenAI with unique terms, generative AI VC hype cycle (1:09:57) Biden's documents, America's over-classification problem (1:27:16) Best cabinet positions/ambassadorships Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: h
E110: 2023 Bestie Predictions!
(0:00) Bestie New Year catch-up! (2:44) Prediction 1: 2023's biggest political winner (17:25) Prediction 2: 2023's biggest political loser (21:57) Prediction 3: 2023's biggest business winner (30:34) Prediction 4: 2023's biggest business loser (42:03) Prediction 5: 2023's biggest business deal (52:41) Prediction 6: 2023's most contrarian belief (1:03:03) Prediction 7: 2023's best-performing asset (1:07:50) Prediction 8: 2023's worst-performing asset (1:14:46) Prediction 9: 2023's most anticipate
E109: 2022 Bestie Awards Live from Twitter HQ
(0:00) Bestie catch up! (3:05) Kicking off the 2022 Bestie Awards (4:12) Biggest winner in politics (9:11) Biggest loser in politics (16:37) Biggest political surprise (23:35) Biggest winner in business (29:48) Biggest loser in business (42:21) Biggest business surprise (51:16) Best science breakthrough (57:36) Biggest flash in the pan (1:42:24) Best CEO (1:47:38) Best investor (1:51:21) Worst investor (1:52:22) Best turnaround (1:55:58) Worst human being (1:59:57) Most loathsome company (2:01:3
E108: Doxing debate, Nuclear fusion breakthrough, state of the markets & more
(0:00) Jason's new gig! (1:05) Twitter's new privacy rules, notable suspension, doxing dynamics (20:48) Nuclear fusion breakthrough and geopolitical ramifications (42:58) Jason and Sacks's big night (51:11) State of the markets: Coupa acquired by Thoma Bravo, startups at all stages seeing heavy valuation reductions, what LPs are thinking (1:22:08) TV catch up, worst person in tech bracket Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks h
E107: The Twitter Files Parts 1-2: shadow banning, story suppression, interference & more
(0:00) Bestie gut health! (2:17) Twitter Files Part 2: shadow banning and blacklisting entire accounts and topics; how content moderation was handled at other tech giants (33:09) Twitter Files Part 1: Suppressing the New York Post's Hunter Biden laptop story (47:30) China effectively ends Zero-Covid policies, Iran, China, and Japan demographics (58:27) Kevin O'Leary defends FTX on CNBC, was paid $15M as a spokesperson; Sinema flips to Independent Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath h
E106: SBF's media strategy, FTX culpability, ChatGPT, SaaS slowdown & more
(0:00) Bestie hangover! (1:05) Analyzing SBF's media tour: his angle, media coverage, and more (21:09) FTX culpability: media, investors, regulators (53:41) Challenging media coverage of other countries, China's current situation, Xi Jinping's standing (1:10:04) What OpenAI's new ChatGPT tool means for the future (1:26:30) David Sacks on the slowdown in SaaS, use case endgame for generative AI Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSa
E105: Tech culture wars: Elon vs. SBF, Sabotaging Republicans with Trump
0:00 Bestie intros! 2:19 Trump announces 2024 presidential bid 26:07 Each bestie names their most important policy issue for 2024 59:03 Big tech belt-tightening, activist investor calls out Google, professional-managerial class culture 1:17:23 SBF's leaked DMs, Elon's culture shift 1:38:22 Sacks's big chess victory, Friedberg's public company analysis, and more Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg
E104: FTX collapse with Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong + election results, macro update & more
(0:00) New bestie game show! (6:20) Election recap: Red wave falls flat, Republican party flips from Trump to DeSantis, a rebuke of extremism (20:47) Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong joins to break down the FTX collapse, further contagion risk, regulation, and more! (43:32) Red flags exhibited by Sam Bankman-Fried and FTX, lack of governance/diligence (1:06:00) Macroeconomic picture, lower than expected CPI print catalyzes market tear, advice for founders Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/cham
E103: Tech layoffs surge, big tech freezes hiring, optimizing for profits, election preview & more
(0:00) Jason's new brand deal (1:18) Bestie updates (9:12) "Ligma/Johnson" blunder outside of Twitter HQ (15:38) Surge of tech layoffs at Twitter, Stripe, Lyft, Opendoor, Chime and others; preparing for a longer downturn than originally anticipated (35:28) Macro trends, big tech freezes hiring, how founders can think about the last 3 years and the next 3 years (54:04) Midterm election preview, understanding the shift toward populism (1:17:32) Science corner: Understanding Meta's AlphaFold compet
E102: Elon closes Twitter deal, $META uncertainty, Zuck's historic bet, big tech decline & more
(0:00) Sacks is back! (1:01) Sacks recaps his week off (3:13) Elon finalizes Twitter deal, immediate content moderation decisions, platform potential (31:19) Meta's historic bet on VR and stock price predicament, governance structure, and more (1:02:52) Big tech's 2022 decline, macro outlook, market breakdown (1:06:32) Ukraine update: Progressives call for diplomacy, then flip flop, chip sanctions on China (1:27:29) Science corner: Gut microbiome advancements Follow the besties: https://twitter.
E101: Ye acquires Parler, Snap drops 30%, macro outlook, VC metrics, valuing stocks & more
(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner joins in place of Sacks, and brigadoons! (2:02) Ye's current situation and acquisition of Parler (14:17) Snap drops ~30%, corporate misgovernance, super-voting shares (32:53) Macro outlook, Stability AI $101M fundraise, VC fund metrics (1:05:38) The difficulty of active stock picking and valuing businesses (1:21:38) Lyft vs Gavin Newsom on Prop 30, PSA from Chamath Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/
E100: Reflecting on the first 100 shows, fan questions, nuclear threat, markets, Amazon & more
(0:00) Bestie intros are back! (6:35) Reflecting on the first 100 episodes and what makes the show special (29:12) Fan questions: Building in a downturn, how to be successful in tech, importance of uncapped upside, and more (53:43) Ukraine/Russia update: Nuclear escalation, when to draw a line in the sand, how inflation could deescalate any WWIII scenario (1:14:57) Reacting to Amazon CEO Andy Jassy's comments at an all-hands meeting earlier this week, VC firms buying public tech stocks Follow th
E99: Cheating scandals, Twitter updates, rapid AI advancements, Biden's pardon, Section 230 & more
0:00 Bestie intros! 1:34 Breaking down major cheating scandals: chess, poker, fishing 16:13 Twitter deal updates 30:05 AI making rapid advancements: Tesla AI Day, Meta's text-to-video tool, where this all leads 49:45 Biden pardons all prior federal offenses of marijuana possession 59:24 SCOTUS will hear cases regarding Section 230, common carrier, algorithmic recommendations Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter
E98: Big tech starts making cuts, Fed incompetency, global debt, Russia/Ukraine & more
0:00 Bestie intros! 1:36 Big tech starts making cuts, plus what this means for the broader economy and startups 31:09 Global debt numbers, Fed incompetency 54:06 RIP Coolio 1:00:30 Russia / Ukraine update Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Int
E97: SPAC updates, public/private market overview, Putin's end game & more
0:00 Bestie intros! 1:03 SPAC updates, state of the public/private markets 20:26 US VCs have $290B in dry powder and raised a record amount in H1 2022, is the market nearing a bottom? 31:14 Risks of backing Putin into a corner, Russia's end game, conditions for conflict 50:45 Government-heavy climate plans, Dilbert/ESG backlash 1:01:20 Poker plans, chess cheating scandal Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com
E96: Adobe acquires Figma for $20B, TPB SPAC, FedEx CEO's recession warning, macro picture & more
0:00 Bestie intro! 0:59 Adobe agrees to acquire Figma for $20B 19:21 How Adobe might bundle Figma, regulatory implications 38:59 Analyzing Google's "one off" acquisition of YouTube 49:33 Friedberg breaks down the latest TPB SPAC news 1:00:37 Pfizer sued for Title VI violation, substantial legislation change in 2022 1:05:07 FedEx drops after CEO says we're in a global recession, Russia/Ukraine update, UN chimes in on global famine Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/
E95: Winter is Coming, Europe's energy crisis, Kim Kardashian's new PE firm & more
0:00 Bestie intros: Luxury brand influencers, Birthday Party stories and more! 3:34 Jason reflects on the final Kara Swisher-hosted Code Conference, All-In media and hit piece requests 12:53 Passing of Queen Elizabeth II 15:39 Winter is Coming: Europe's energy crisis, potential fracturing of the Western Alliance, how we got here, endgame, and more 53:03 Kim Kardashian's new PE firm, content as the dominant distribution channel, what will mega-influencers do to legacy brands 1:03:46 Overprescribi
E94: NFT volume plummets, California's overreach, FBI meddling, climate change & national security
(0:00) Bestie intros + Burning Man debate (4:16) NFT trading volume plummets (10:20) California's new fast food wages bill, government creating bad incentives, how the free market response will further the labor issue (40:15) Zuckerberg on Rogan, FBI interference with the Hunter Biden laptop story (52:00) Balancing fighting climate change without harming the economy or national security, EU energy policy failure (1:06:04) Besties reflect on Mikhail Gorbachev's passing Follow the besties: https:/
E93: Twitter whistleblower, cloud security vulnerabilities, student debt forgiveness & more
0:00 Bestie intros! 1:25 Twitter's former head of security makes allegations against the company 22:08 Foreign countries placing government agents in US tech companies, cloud security vulnerabilities 33:54 Student loan forgiveness 1:03:25 Red wave or red ripple? 1:07:57 Science corner: Gut microbiome, fecal transplants Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theall
E92: Adam Neumann's second act, a16z's $350M bet, housing policy, Inflation Reduction Act & more
0:00 Bestie intro plus a new moderator! 7:19 Adam Neumann raises $350M from a16z for his new residential real estate startup Flow 25:32 Housing policy: Bay Area, Houston, Miami differences 45:41 China, Saudi Arabia, Russia increase relations: should the US be worried? 1:01:09 Inflation Reduction Act signed into law: climate change impact, CBO scorecard, IRS beefed up, carbon tax, big pharma pricing, and more 1:29:47 Chamath ends his spat with Phil Hellmuth, FBI raid follow-up Follow the besties:
E91: SoftBank's $21B+ Vision Fund loss, signals of a bubble, macro picture, Trump raided by FBI
0:00 Bestie intros 3:02 Where Masa and SoftBank went wrong, why VC isn't scaleable, Vision Fund impact 27:59 Metrics that signify a bubble or the top of a market 36:46 US macroeconomic picture 50:45 FBI raids Mar-a-Lago, Trump back in news Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl htt
E90: Twitter subpoenas, market overview, Pelosi's Taiwan visit & more
0:00 Bestie intros 2:07 Twitter subpoenas the besties! 16:03 Markets overview: dead cat bounce or have we hit the bottom? 34:10 De-globalization trends, Pelosi's Taiwan visit Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twit
E89: GDP growth negative in Q2, $SHOP layoffs, Alzheimer's fraud, Ginkgo acquires Zymergen & more
0:00 Bestie intros! 2:19 GDP growth is negative for a second consecutive quarter, but is the US actually in a recession? How has the White House controlled the narrative? 22:45 Looking at COVID trends with a post-COVID view: e-commerce, remote work, and how they correlate 36:33 "Inflation Reduction Act", how government subsidies can stifle innovation 59:50 Alzheimer's fraud, Ginkgo acquires Zymergen for $300M 1:17:36 Democrats backing MAGA candidates in primaries vs. more moderate republicans: s
E88: First principle politics, China chaos & outlook, state of private/public markets & more
0:00 Bestie intros 1:45 First principle politics, analyzing each party's cynicism 48:07 Chaos in China: bank protests, housing protests, slowing economic and population growth, future outlook 1:09:21 Automation and the impact of the information economy 1:16:31 BlackRock loses $1.7T of investor money during H1 2021, state of private and public markets 1:36:36 Amazon acquires One Medical Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks http
E87: Emerging markets, Sri Lanka, 9.1% CPI, market sentiment, NASA's Webb telescope & more
0:00 Bestie intros! 1:41 Emerging markets, Sri Lanka break down 36:01 9.1% CPI print 48:15 Current market sentiments from retail and institutional investors 1:05:00 NASA's Webb telescope images 1:15:57 Beagle rescue, Biden admin's lack of private sector experience, Russia's new energy play BEAGLE RESCUE INFO: https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/12/us/beagles-virginia-facility-rescue/index.html https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/12/us/envigo-beagles-breeder-adoption.html https://www.humanesociety.org/beag
E86: Macro outlook: jobs, housing, inflation + Dutch farmers protests & EU climate missteps
0:00 Bestie open: Sacks' shopping spree 2:15 Macro outlook: jobs, consumer sentiment, housing, inflation, finding a bottom 39:21 Turkish government finds ~694 million mt of rare earth reserves & EU reclassifies nuclear & natural gas as "green" 48:58 Dutch farmers protests: root causes, how to move forward with smarter legislation 1:09:39 Biden's decline, Bezos responds to Biden's tweet on bringing gas prices down Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https:/
E85: SBF's crypto bailout, Zendesk sells for ~$10B, buyout targets, US diplomacy, AlphaFold & more
0:00 Bestie intros 4:09 Assessing SBF bailing out major crypto players & the state of the market 18:24 Classifying crypto assets, high-yield crypto lending 34:17 Zendesk sells for $10B, accounting for stock-based comp, evergreen standard in tech 1:01:24 Buyout targets, public market "regime change" 1:08:21 Russia/Ukraine impact on markets, could US diplomacy have prevented the war? 1:28:35 Science Corner: Friedberg breaks down the newest breakthrough AlphaFold application Follow the besties: htt
E84: Markets update, crypto collapse, Russia/Ukraine endgame, state of the podcast
0:00 Besties discuss the one-month hiatus 7:03 Markets update: Fed decisions, goals, macro factors, root causes 32:19 Earnings estimate skepticism, labor force, job openings 47:17 How startups should think about the next 18-36 months 56:20 Crypto collapse, next shoe(s) to drop 1:08:41 Russia/Ukraine endgame, escalation, scrutinizing US alliances, sanctions failing 1:33:12 Will 2024 be Biden vs. Trump? Could it be DeSantis vs. Newsom? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr
#AIS: Palmer Luckey on Anduril
This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Jason intros today's episode 2:31 Palmer Luckey on Anduril, national defense & the current thing 25:24 Bestie Q&A with Palmer 53:13 Jason gives closing thoughts Follow Palmer: https://twitter.com/PalmerLuckey Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twit
#AIS: Bestie AMA with Valor's Antonio Gracias
This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Antonio Gracias joins to talk: Tesla's early days, investing in Elon, macroeconomic outlook, ROIC, importance of energy independence, future of manufacturing, financial-ization of the P&L & more 22:35 Q: How has the poker game influenced your decision making in business and life? 29:33 Q: What was the scariest step of becoming
#AIS: Opening chat with Miami Mayor Francis Suarez
This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Yung Spielburg intros the Besties + Besties give reactions to the All-In Summit 5:56 Miami Mayor Francis Suarez joins the Besties on stage to chat: Miami's emergence as a tech hub, his governing principles, crypto, what the future holds & more Follow Mayor Suarez: https://twitter.com/FrancisSuarez Follow the besties: https://t
#AIS: Joe Lonsdale on the problem with higher education
This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Joe Lonsdale speaks about the problem with higher education and the importance of debate/truth-seeking 10:13 Bestie Q&A with Joe: Why Americans feel victimized, what happened in 1971, getting off the gold standard, school choice, starting UATX Follow Joe: https://twitter.com/JTLonsdale Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/c
#AIS: The Lanby's Tandice Urban on solving healthcare's customer service problem
This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 The Lanby's Tandice Urban breaks down why healthcare has a customer service problem, and how to fix it 12:28 Bestie Q&A: changing American's perspective on healthcare, opportunity for DTC health brands, why is medical spend at all-time highs while avg lifespan has flatlined/slightly decreased? Follow The Lanby: https://twitte
#AIS: MP Materials CEO James Litinsky on rare earths, supply chain, and energy independence
This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Chamath intros MP Materials CEO James Litinsky 1:13 James gives a talk on supply chain, energy independence, acquiring the Mountain Pass mine and starting MP Materials 12:48 Bestie Q&A with James: US falling behind in rare earth mining, risk compliance, energy independence breeding geopolitical leverage, mining lithium in the
#AIS: Pear VC’s Mar Hershenson on making successful founders
This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Pear VC Founding Managing Partner Mar Hershenson gives a talk on making successful entrepreneurs: can great founders be created, or is it something they are born with? 17:04 Bestie Q&A with Mar: Catalyzing great founders, why the PayPal Mafia created more unicorns than early Google employees, creating more opportunity for unde
#AIS: FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver on how gamblers think
This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Nate Silver gives a presentation on how gamblers think 19:25 Bestie Q&A with Nate Silver: building probabilistic models, getting blamed for Trump winning in 2016, polarization reality, 2022 midterms Follow Nate: https://twitter.com/NateSilver538 Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https:
#AIS: Divvy Homes CEO Adena Hefets breaks down the state of the US housing market
This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Adena Hefets breaks down the state of the US housing market in 2022 16:56 Bestie Q&A with Adena: differences between 2008 and 2022, housing market reaction time, chances of a collapse, and more 30:08 Adena does a Bestie Intro for herself! Follow Adena: https://twitter.com/adenahefets Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/cha
#AIS: Glenn Greenwald & Matt Taibbi discuss the new political divide, moderated by David Sacks
This conversation was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami! 0:00 David Sacks explains the origin of this panel on political discourse in America 2:56 Understanding the new political divide, how Trump's victory impacted discourse 12:37 Can mainstream media ever get back to relative neutrality? 29:15 Audience Q&A Follow the guests: https://twitter.com/ggreenwald https://twitter.com/mtaibbi Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidS
E83: Market slide continues, and how to address Uvalde
0:00 Bestie Guestie Brad Gerstner joins the show 1:00 All-In Summit recap and best moments 16:45 State of the markets, $ZM/$SNOW earnings, how much more uncertainty? 29:53 $SNAP drops after miscalculating earnings targets, understanding signs of a true bottom, the end of entitlement 51:10 Down market end game, investor decisions, reasons for optimism, quick reset potential 1:05:17 Sacks explains his concept for "default investable," Besties share thoughts on proactive layoffs and course correcti
#AIS: Tim Urban on political discourse + Keith Rabois on early-stage investing in 2022
This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Tim Urban gives a talk on political discourse in America and explains high-rung vs. low-rung thinking 26:20 The Besties and Keith Rabois join Tim Urban on stage for a roundtable discussion on cancel culture 51:23 Keith Rabois talks about taking a pause on new investments in 2022 and gives his take on other major VC player
#AIS: Antonio Garcia Martinez & Glenn Greenwald debate Ukraine, moderated by David Sacks
This debate was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 David Sacks tees up the show: Debating the US intervention in Ukraine This debate was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami! 1:49 Opening statements from Glenn & Antonio 15:29 Debating US involvement, regime change motives, & more 32:01 Final word & wrap Follow the guests: https://twitter.com/ggreenwald https://
E82: All-In Summit: Claire Cormier Thielke on China + Q&A with Flexport's Ryan Petersen
This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Claire Cormier Thielke's AIS talk: "Tomorrowland: China Placemaking and the Future of Innovation" 17:40 Claire takes Q&A with the Besties + Ryan Petersen: Understanding the China/US rivalry 24:08 How the Evergrande debt situation impacts the greater Chinese real estate industry, China's still-nascent middle class, How China is
E81: All-In Summit: Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner on markets, downturns & investment cycles
This conversation was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner break down the state and historical significance of 2022's market downturn 12:27 How VCs will handle capital commitments from LPs, underwriting startups in the new reality 24:14 Bull run mistakes, why VCs don't underwrite lower valuations, handling distributions 33:52 Gurley's take on WeCras
E69: Elon Musk on Twitter's bot problem, SpaceX's grand plan, Tesla stories, Giga Texas & more
0:00 Bestie Guestie Elon Musk joins via Zoom at the All-In Summit! 0:43 Benchmarking Twitter's bot problem, thoughts on slights from the Biden Administration 13:26 Breaking down Tesla's 6+ businesses, comparing them to a traditional car company 21:42 Concerns around the Twitter deal, crypto payments on Twitter 30:19 Building vs. acquiring, early Tesla stories 39:52 SpaceX's grand vision and business model, nuclear fusion vs. solar 56:37 Moving from CA to TX, fixing California, macroeconomic take
E80: Recession deep dive: VC psychology, macro risks, Tiger Global, predictions and more
0:00 Bestie catchup and Friedberg intros! 4:40 Breaking down current macro risks, Great Recession comparisons 31:55 How a historically large amount of dry powder is impacting VC firms as the market shifts, problems with mega funds 41:31 Tiger Global's historic loss and where they might have gone wrong; Sacks' gives his playbook for raising capital in a downturn 58:35 How startup employees can protect themselves in a down market, questions to ask and metrics to know while evaluating startups to w
E79: Analyzing the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade with Amy Howe and Tom Goldstein
0:00 Amy Howe (@AHoweBlogger) & Tom Goldstein (@SCOTUSblog) join the show to break down the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade 28:07 Potential downstream impacts from the precedent of overturning Roe v. Wade 43:03 How will the leaked draft impact the Supreme Court going forward? Should there be age limits for SC justices? 1:05:09 Analyzing the path forward Follow Amy and Tom: https://twitter.com/AHoweBlogger https://twitter.com/SCOTUSblog Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https:/
E78: VC fund metrics that matter, private market update, recession, student loans, Bill Hwang arrest
0:00 Bestie intros 4:32 Understanding VC fund metrics that matter, state of private markets 29:37 Recession possibilities, Q1 negative growth 44:56 Student loan forgiveness, fixing the underlying system, solutions 1:09:52 Archegos founder Bill Hwang arrested and charged with fraud and racketeering 1:19:08 New Disinformation Governance Board 1:30:23 Predictions for Elon's Twitter vision, policing speech on social media using existing case law Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https:
E77: Tech work culture, crypto regulation, stablecoins, $NFLX & more w/ Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong
0:00 Bestie Intros + a new Bestie Guestie! 4:37 Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong reflects on his "mission-focused company" blog post, work culture in tech/Silicon Valley, realigning culture at Coinbase 26:25 Crypto regulation and adoption 46:37 Brian's takes on different types of stablecoins 51:14 Netflix's major headwinds Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theall
E76.5: Food shortage, China's grand plan, inflation, French election plus an All-In Summit preview
*** PRODUCER'S NOTE: This is part two of E76. If you want to hear the besties break down Elon vs. Twitter, check out the previous episode. 0:00 Surprise part two! 1:03 Friedberg breaks down the global food crisis and predicts China's grand plan 9:27 Inflation: 8.5% CPI in March, potential causes, what the rest of 2022 might look like 18:22 Understanding French election results so far 23:08 All-In Summit update and preview Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/c
E76: Elon vs. Twitter
0:00 Jason's new skincare routine, Sacks' Good Friday portfolio update, Bestie intros 3:12 Breaking down Elon's offer to buy Twitter and take it private: poison pills, board responsibility and more 30:50 Core issues of Elon vs. Twitter, analyzing reactions, breaking down Twitter's revenue per employee 43:10 Free speech and Twitter, predictions for how this saga ends, business film recommendations Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/Davi
E75: Fast shuts down, board culpability, Elon buys 9% of Twitter, deplatforming's evolution & more
0:00 Jason's big night out, bestie intros, All-In Summit update and more 8:01 Layoffs and shutdowns: Fast, Better.com, GoPuff; Chamath gives a macro- and micro- overview for startups 14:09 Preventing layoffs, culpability in Fast's shutdown, VC diligence strategy, VC/founder model 41:51 Elon buys a 9% stake in Twitter and joins the board: what does this mean for Twitter, free speech online, evolution of deplatforming 1:03:24 Food shortage update, ideal US objectives going forward Follow the besti
E74: Market update, inverted yield curve, immigration, new SPAC rules, $FB smears TikTok and more
0:00 Sacks' DC trip and foreign policy speaking gig 5:50 Yield curve inversion, breaking down the current state of the markets, understanding the labor market through birth rate and immigration 26:16 How the US can fix its current economic issues, reframing high-skilled immigration 48:54 SEC's new proposed rules around SPACs and climate disclosures for public companies: how will both markets be impacted? 1:10:29 Meta used a GOP firm to run a smear campaign against TikTok in the US: dirty, necess
E73: Late-stage VC markdowns and mistakes, market strategy, Ukraine/Russia update with Brad Gerstner
0:00 Bestie Guestie Brad Gerstner is filling in for Friedberg 1:34 Understanding public SaaS and Internet multiples, Instacart's cuts its valuation by 40%, understanding reality of overvalued late-stage companies 21:52 Capital allocators at fault, how crossover funds are reacting, late-stage price discovery, investor and founder behavioral psychology 40:37 Sacks' burn multiple, managing growth spend, new VC qualifications, lessons from the COVID bubble 53:58 Russia/Ukraine: US potential non-ceas
E72: Impact of sanctions, deglobalization, food shortage risks, macroeconomic outlook and more
0:00 Jason's new "family office" and Sacks' new strategy 2:39 Understanding where all sides stand in the Russia/Ukraine War three weeks in 15:21 Sanctions risking a major food shortage: possible solutions, how we got here, creating distributed manufacturing and supply chains, capitalist incentives flipping 34:59 Breaking down the second- and third-order effects of the massive sanctions on Russia; best case/worst case outcomes for this new form of economic warfare, deglobalization 49:26 US econom
E71: Russia/Ukraine deep dive: escalation, risk factors, financial fallout, exit ramps and more
0:00 David Sacks: Man for the people 0:50 Escalating tensions over Russia/Ukraine; nuclear scare; evolving forms of warfare 16:27 Assessing impact of economic sanctions: first, second and third-order effects; exit ramps for Putin and Russia 34:23 Reflecting on if taking NATO expansion off the table would have prevented war; Putin's risk of ruin; lessons learned so far 46:12 New version of economic warfare; possibility of a regime change; comparisons to the Cuban Missile Crisis; realist vs. ideal
E70: EMERGENCY POD! Russia invades Ukraine: Reactions, Putin's ambition, Biden's response and more
0:00 Ukraine invasion: how should the US respond? 17:03 Importance of energy independence when dealing with Russia; solutions: Solar, Natural Gas, Nuclear, etc 32:51 Reflecting on the media coverage so far, Putin's ambitions 42:20 Biden's new sanctions, Chamath's Russia story, doing the math on how the US can leverage energy independence 53:19 Markets signaling a potential turnaround, great businesses are available to buy at compressed prices, is Putin mad Follow the besties: https://twitter.com
E68: Trudeau invokes emergency powers, Bitcoin vs. government, Tiger Global's new strategy & more
0:00 Sacks needs the ball 1:43 Trudeau invokes emergency powers to try and stop the truckers protest 13:45 Bitcoin's role in decentralizing currency away from potentially hostile governments 25:37 San Francisco Board of Education recall: what this means for the boundaries of progressivism 42:02 Assessing Tiger Global's new strategy: less late-stage private companies, more Series A and B rounds, more compressed public tech stocks 1:11:24 HIV stem cell breakthrough, Sacks gives some hot takes on F
E67: Revisiting Rogan, Canadian truckers' protest, fusion breakthrough, $MSFT's savvy move & more
0:00 Bestie Intro: Phil Hellmuth found a new billionaire 1:30 Chamath's new camera positioning 3:58 Revisiting the Joe Rogan/Spotify situation, racism claims, and the video controversy 30:04 Canadian truckers' "Freedom Convoy": root causes, impact, what is this turning into? 45:00 Nuclear fusion breakthrough: Friedberg shares thoughts and theories on what this could mean for the future of energy and life on Earth 54:15 Contrarian energy trade, Chamath's Big Tech play morphing into a long-term in
E66: $FB's major pullback, Rogan/Spotify mess, Xi/Putin meetup and understanding supply chain issues with Bestie Guestie Ryan Petersen (Flexport CEO)
0:00 Sacks' shining moment 2:34 Bestie Guestie Ryan Petersen joins to break down the supply chain situation: core issues, solutions, things to look out for 45:49 $FB's major pullback: causes, headwinds, and why going all-in on the Metaverse might have been a "frothy market mistake" 55:28 Breaking down the competition in the "XR Wars": Meta, Apple, Microsoft and Google; why a phone might have been a better $10B/year bet for Facebook, Google's strategic brilliance 1:09:14 Spotify's Joe Rogan situa
E65: VC markup dynamics, Russia/US tensions over Ukraine, Altos Labs raises $3B, Stripe mafia & more
0:00 Chamath's preferred cosplay 1:35 Reflecting on bad investment decisions and markup dynamics 15:20 Rising tensions between US and Russia over Ukraine, Putin's demands, NATO negotiations as the underreported key piece, Obama's savvy Russia dealings 39:16 Bill Ackman buys the Netflix dip, Tesla and Microsoft crush earnings, the Fed signals rate hikes 55:18 Altos Labs raises $3B in the largest Seed round ever, incredible Yamanaka factors breakthrough, dynamics of a richly capitalized bio-moonsh
E64: Antitrust standards & enforcement, tech repricing, lab leak obfuscation, E63 reactions & more
00:00 Cold Open 00:25 Besties react to last week’s All-In E63 21:50 Implications of FTC Chair Lina Khan’s approach to enforcing antitrust 42:21 “Superbubble,” Multiple compression, Fed interest rates, Peloton & Netflix valuations 1:11:04 Sacks explains the NIH’s coordinated effort to downplay the lab leak hypothesis 1:32:01 Friedberg’s new company Cana 1:33:47 Learning loss from COVID school closures Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/
E63: Insurrection indictments, human rights in the US and abroad, groundbreaking MS study and more
0:00 Bestie Intro: Friedberg prepares for the insurrection discussion 0:39 Breaking down the Oath Keeper indictments and the riots at the capitol, Biden's plummeting approval rating 14:45 Human rights perspectives and challenges: domestic and international 57:36 Considering the rise of authoritarianism in the US, positive stimulus impacts 1:04:09 Groundbreaking study on a possible root cause of multiple sclerosis, pig heart successfully transplanted into living person, SEC considering tightening
E62: Elizabeth Holmes verdict, fraud origins & takeaways, navigating "The Great Markdown" & more
0:00 Bestie intro and poker recap 3:14 Elizabeth Holmes verdict, origins of the fraud, breakdown of the Theranos promise 17:51 Lessons for founders and investors from the Theranos debacle, bad behavior a sign of the top 26:09 Implications of "The Great Markdown" on public and private markets, confusing FED decisions 45:56 Advice for founders on navigating a downturn 1:00:01 a16z's new mega funds; should they go public? How does that change partner dynamics? Follow the besties: https://twitter.co
E61: 2022 Predictions! Business, politics, science, tech, crypto, & more
(0:00) Recapping the "Superspreader" (6:12) Predicting 2022's biggest political winner (11:57) Predicting 2022's biggest political loser (19:07) Predicting 2022's biggest business winner (25:47) Predicting 2022's biggest business loser (34:30) Most contrarian belief for 2022 (1:02:07) Best performing asset for 2022 (1:04:19) Most anticipated trend for 2022 (1:09:19) Most anticipated media for 2022 Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/Dav
E60: The 2021 Bestie Awards PLUS Jack Dorsey starts the Web3 Wars
(0:00) Catching up on the Web3 wars and Jack Dorsey sounding off (5:10) Biggest Winner - Politics (9:43) Biggest Loser - Politics (14:37) Biggest Political Surprise (22:24) Biggest Winner - Business (26:03) Biggest Loser - Business (30:54) Biggest Business Surprise (35:27) Best Science Breakthrough (42:56) Biggest Flash in the Pan (47:08) Best CEO (52:43) Best Investor (57:12) Best Turnaround (1:02:47) Worth Human Being (1:07:31) Best Meme (1:10:02) Most Loathsome Company (1:14:47) Best New Tech
E59: Twitter's content warning algo, equity audits, politicians trading stocks, Fed's next move, mRNA & more
(0:00) Bestie Intro: Sweater update, NYC stories (8:30) Sacks got flagged on Twitter, theorizing on Twitter's content warning algorithm (14:37) "Racial equity audits" with product-level consequences might be coming to Big Tech (27:37) Elizabeth Warren vs. Elon on Twitter, birth of "Senator Karen," understanding where the Fed can go from here (42:56) Omicron spreading rapidly in NYC, but deaths are still relatively flat, anticipating the quality of life split for blue/red states going forward (53
E58: November's CPI, preparing for a downturn, macro outlook, Better.com's botched layoffs & more
0:00 Bestie Intro: Chamath's happy hour and sweater feud 7:11 Breaking down the new 6.8% CPI number, reflecting on old inflation takes, jobs report, understanding why CPI is misleading 23:05 How growth stocks got overblown, current valuation outlook, government as capital allocators 40:12 Deficit trouble: will another president ever try and balance the budget? Areas of positivity in the economy 50:29 Better.com's botched layoffs, impact of overcapitalization, macro outlook for founders 1:11:16 L
E57: Understanding Omicron, tech stocks plummet, VC's great resignation, Jack Dorsey's departure
(0:00) Bestie Intro: Miami talk, gambling stories, Nancy Pelosi's retirement plans (12:30) Understanding the Omicron variant (24:49) Tech stocks plummet: why the selloff? (33:44) Inflation: here to stay? What's the 10-year outlook? (44:57) Anticipating a "Great Resignation" of successful VCs (54:45) Tech people ruining Art Basel, comparing Bay Area / South Florida immigrant communities in terms of political activity, success of Indian-Americans in tech (1:02:08) Mike Bloomberg donates $750M to c
E56: Constitution DAO, Rittenhouse trial coverage, private sector efficiency vs the government
0:00 Bestie intro 1:14 Constitution DAO: implications, shortcomings, how to move forward? 29:58 Rittenhouse trial media coverage 50:52 Ken Griffin plays heel (again), private sector efficiency vs. government inefficiency 1:07:08 Pete Davidson's pull, Sacks' taste in music, wrap Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro
E55: Valuing crypto projects, Rivian worth $100B+, inflation: causes and corrections and more
0:00 Bestie intro and Solana Breakpoint talk 4:43 Covering the censored segment from last week, how to value crypto projects and general investing, what to take away from the podcast 30:45 Rivian's >$100B valuation, greatest CNBC hit of all time 42:06 Inflation: reacting to the CPI number, problems with MMT, strategies to curb it 1:01:34 Xi Jinping becomes China's "Supreme Leader" 1:08:35 GE, Toshiba, and J&J break up into separate businesses: is this the end of the conglomerate? Insights from P
E54: Spread trading big tech, capital allocation, Zillow's misfire, Progressives suffer losses
Show Notes: 0:00 Besties do a Microsoft-themed intro 7:53 Spread trading big tech, amazing power of Google and Microsoft 17:28 Sacks speaks about Bird going public from the NYSE, understanding distributions and evergreen funds, why Friedberg went the startup studio route 30:36 How DAOs fit in to the capital allocation landscape, the balance of consumer-facing products and infrastructure solutions for web 3.0 35:24 Zillow's iBuying implosion 46:05 Wokelash: Progressive democrats take huge hit on
E53: Wealth tax, dealing with inflation as a capital allocator, big tech earnings, Facebook's rebrand, paternity leave & more
0:00 Bestie intro, child update, Joe Lonsdale’s take on paternity leave 20:44 Proposed “Wealth Tax” 35:13 Inflation discussion: corporate and government reactions 52:30 Dealing with inflation as a capital allocator 58:49 Big Tech’s outrageous quarterly earnings, why Google is the best business ever, Facebook’s “Meta” rebrand Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com
E52: Trump's SPAC, peak venture liquidity, tech as an economic ladder, Dems overplaying their hand
Show Notes: 0:00 Bestie weight loss strategies, poker recap 13:19 Trump SPAC, how he can leverage the capital intelligently, building vs. acquiring, and more 33:43 Peak venture returns, tech landscape 44:56 Tech's global role: are we still in the early days, as opposed to a bubble? Wealth shaming, upward mobility 58:58 Democrats overplaying their hand, Netflix discourse, and more 1:17:41 Pig kidney biological innovation Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis
E51: Supply Chain Shortages, Inflation, DeSantis, Ted Sarandos Netflix Memo, Cancel Culture, Fan Q&A
Show Notes: 00:00 Cold Open 01:19 Titles 01:01 Intro Banter 04:24 Supply chain, labor shortage, 34:04 Taiwan 43:14 Sacks Desantis 47:00 Dave Chappelle 01:08:24 FDA 01:23:27 Question 1 01:27:08 Question 2 Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielb
E50: Crypto investing deep dive, Facebook's whistleblower fallout, Chappelle's new special & more
Show Notes: 0:00 Mercury is in retrograde & impacting the besties 2:01 Sacks on Solana, sophisticated crypto strategies, crypto deep dive 26:23 Building regulatory framework for utility tokens, institutional money in crypto 40:59 Facebook whistleblower, potential ramifications & regulation 57:10 Comparing potential Facebook regulation to Microsoft regulation in the 1990s 1:02:34 Is decentralization a solution for social media? 1:09:09 Chappelle's controversial new special, All-In summit & more F
E49: Coinbase CEO reflects on controversial blog, state of the markets, 1000 unicorns, tax reform & more
Show Notes: 0:00 Brian Armstrong follows up on his one-year old blog post "Coinbase is a mission focused company" 19:27 Authoritarianism on the left 33:04 Newsom's new vaccine mandate, NBA vaccine coverage, Merck COVID pill 45:51 Golden Age of VC, 1000 unicorns & the impact on private/public markets 57:45 Corporate tax reform, Roth IRAs & the "Peter Thiel Provision" 1:06:36 Chances of a VC bubble, why notable VCs are retiring, building a modern venture firm 1:23:51 All-In summit planning Follow
E48: The role of decentralization, China/US break down & more with Bestie Guestie Balaji Srinivasan
Show Notes: 0:00 Bestie Guestie Balaji Srinivasan is introduced 6:01 Balaji's day in the life, Coinbase background, comparing crypto with early 2000's p2p music industry, China's lawful evil 16:09 China declares crypto transactions illegal, comparing and contrasting the US and China's future outlook 39:43 Chances of a revolution in China, predictions for the next 1-2 decades 48:37 Decentralized citizen journalism, the end of corporate journalism 58:11 Facebook's tough stretch continues: leaker m
E47: Facebook's week from hell, Ellen Pao on sexism in Elizabeth Holmes coverage, Newsom's win, frauds & more
Show Notes: 0:00 Besties intro, TPB Symposium recap, rapid generations in tech 7:00 UBI, incentives for success, social safety nets 19:45 Newsom's recall victory in California, where the GOP went wrong 33:59 Facebook's week from hell, Instagram's harmful impact on teen girls 42:42 How to properly regulate social media's impact on certain groups 1:04:46 Pentagon admits to killing 10 Afghan civilians (including seven children) in drone strike 1:07:17 Ellen Pao on sexism around the Elizabeth Holmes
E46: False Ivermectin narratives, regulatory grift, wartime mentality in solving issues & more | LIVE from TPB Symposium!
Show Notes: 0:00 Open: LIVE from TPB Symposium 1:18 False Ivermectin story fools Rolling Stone, Rachel Maddow & more 15:47 Biden's recently announced vaccine mandates, why US hasn't been able to solve cheap testing 25:36 The threat of regulatory capture 34:18 Benefits of the "wartime mentality" when solving major issues 45:30 CCP looking to break up Alipay, what this means for US/China relations 49:11 Audience Q&A! Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https
E45: Theranos & VC fraud risks, China bans video games, Texas SB8, Apple app store, CA fires, Rogan
Show Notes: 00:00 Besties recap, it's Chamath's Birthday, Callin app 08:58 What should protocol be for conferences & live events? 12:58 Fake it before you make it, the Elizabeth Holmes Theranos trial & implications for fraud in VC 31:28 China's video game ban, is it a good move? 39:34 Texas Senate Bill 8, allowing suing for aiding an abetting abortion 55:09 Apple alters their payment policies 1:03:06 Fires continue in CA, $1T of homes can't be insured & the impacts on real estate values 1:12:48
E44: USA's Afghanistan embarrassment, China's new algo laws, future of robots + Italy recap!
Show Notes: 0:00 Intro & Italy recap 12:06 An embarrassment in Afghanistan: breaking down how it happened 34:49 China's potential checkmate in Afghanistan, CCP cracking down on IPOs & algos 1:00:27 Rent moratorium ends, Prop 22 ruled unconstitutional, the shrinking role of agency 1:14:24 Boston Dynamics & TeslaBot, Bezos embarrasses himself with lawsuits 1:34:49 Post-credits scene Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://t
E43: Innovative venture strategies, Zymergen's implosion, Square acquires Afterpay, future of fintech & more
Show Notes: 0:00 Big week for the besties: Friedberg's new raise, Sacks' new fund & more 16:30 Innovative venture strategies: internal mark ups, venture studios, deployment strategies 30:44 Zymergen's implosion: role of diligence, how to make deep tech sustainable, finding frauds 43:26 How personal risk impacts decision making on a grand scale, narratives and fundraising 59:12 Chamath & Jason share Theranos stories, Jason calling out frauds 1:07:36 Financial deplatforming, Square acquires Afterp
E42: China's tech crackdown, CRISPR breakthrough, practical climate change solutions & more
Show Notes: 0:00 Quick vaccine passports update 17:15 China's massive tech crackdown: reasons, ramifications, & more 37:37 How will large firms & institutional investors react to the CCP's recent regulatory moves, mechanics of delisting public companies 41:25 CRISPR breakthrough, future possibilities 50:18 Taking the right approach to climate change with respect to population growth & consumption, carbon markets, practical solutions 1:06:03 Quentin Tarantino's approach & impact on Sacks, Chamath
E41: Vaccine policy, Big Tech, DeepMind's latest breakthrough, wealth creation, opportunity & more
Show Notes: 0:00 Intro & Dog update 5:48 COVID, Vaccine mandates, public vs. private policy 26:26 Collectivism, comparison to cigarettes, Sacks' latest podcast beef 36:56 Vaccine incentives in France 45:39 Friedberg's science corner: DeepMind's latest breakthrough, Big Tech censorship, free speech infringements 59:40 Capital's role in progress, Bezos' poor press conference, difference in criticism by party, Elon & Bezos as capital allocators 1:10:46 Modern online pessimist psychology & how to fi
E40: A Bestie gets COVID, Delta breakthrough, Billionaire Space Race & more
Show Notes: 0:00 Bestie game show: Who got COVID? How was the experience? 9:30 Delta breakthrough causing concern, potential new approaches, vaccine mandates 24:26 Implications on the economy, will people self-isolate even without government shutdowns? 40:09 Billionaire Space Race: Addressing the negativity, benefits of innovators 47:29 Investments in space, parallels to 1500's maritime shipping, potential for global broadband 1:04:07 Besties go to space, Bezos' cheap shot, Elon's support, Melvi
E39: West coast super drought & climate crisis, Nuclear virtue signaling, chaos in SF & more
Show Notes: 0:00 Super drought & climate crisis on the west coast 25:53 Nuclear energy, virtue signaling, cognitive laziness, positive signals of optimism 36:50 Friedberg's "anti-science" theory 44:48 San Francisco chaos, "crime is down" controversy, viral crime videos 59:42 Are Israel's recent COVID vaccine findings problematic? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter
E38: Bestie brawl, Robinhood's $70M fine & S-1, Delta variant, future of the political parties, FTC takes losses against big tech & more
Show Notes: 0:00 Jason & Sacks hash out their Twitter beef 20:58 Robinhood $70M FINRA fine signals & S-1 news, plus how GPs think about IPO distributions 35:29 Delta variant: reason for concern or fear porn? 57:25 Trump not taking credit for Project Lightspeed, Trump CFO indicted, will Dems prosecuting Trump backfire & help him gain steam for 2024? 1:06:11 Future of Republican & Democratic parties 1:11:17 FTC takes a hit in Facebook case dismissal & Amazon requesting Lina Khan's recusal, does Fa
E37: NYC rejects far-left mayoral candidates, new developments in lab leak theory, Apple's App Store breakup potential & more
Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Referenced in the show: NYT - N.Y.C. Mayoral Race Highlights: Adams Leads in Early Results Over Wiley and Garcia https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/06/22/nyregion/nyc-primary-election Vanity Fair - Eric Adams
E36: New FTC Chair, breaking up big tech, government silent spying, Jon Stewart, wildfires & more
Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Show Notes: 00:00 Besties intro 03:37 Lina Khan appointed to the Chair of the Federal Trade Commission 07:02 Will Lina break up big tech? Which one will be first? 18:02 Potential repercussions to consumers 27
E35: Biogen's controversial Alzheimer's drug approval, the billionaire space race, real estate, Bitcoin & more
Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Show Notes: 0:00 Bestie intro, Chamath's whereabouts 2:54 Breaking down Biogen's Alzheimer's drug & the FDA's controversial approval 26:46 Billionaire space race: Is Bezos going to space too risky or a smart marketing move? How the space industry is a perfect example of effective gov
E34: Wuhan lab leak theory, India's "traceability" law, Coinbase's fact check, Big Tech's Hollywood takeover
Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Referenced in the show: WSJ - The Wuhan Lab Leak Question: A Disused Chinese Mine Takes Center Stage https://www.wsj.com/articles/wuhan-lab-leak-question-chinese-mine-covid-pandemic-11621871125 Forbes - Frie
E33: Apple’s hypocrisy, America’s math failure, crypto’s regulatory correction, Clubhouse’s future, UFOs & more
Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Referenced in the show: The Verge - Apple employees circulate petition demanding investigation into ‘misogynistic’ new hire https://www.theverge.com/2021/5/12/22432909/apple-petition-hiring-antonio-garcia-ma
E32: Behind the scenes of Elon hosting SNL, CDC failures, America's real-time UBI experiment, post-COVID boom in jeopardy & more
Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Referenced in the show: NY Times - A Misleading C.D.C. Number https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/11/briefing/outdoor-covidtransmission-cdc-number.html medRxiv - COVID-19 Aerosolized Viral Loads, Environment, Ve
E31: Post-vaccination virtue signaling, pandemic lessons, immigration, Caitlyn Jenner for CA Governor, Big Tech earnings & more
Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Referenced in the show: MIT Technology Review - Some vaccinated people are still getting covid. Here’s why you shouldn’t worry. https://www.technologyreview.com/2021/04/29/1024301/vaccines-covid-breakthrough
E30: Ramifications of Biden's proposed capital gains tax hike, federal budget, India's COVID surge, founder psychology & more
Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Referenced in the show: Federal Net Outlays as Percent of GDP https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYONGDA188S Wayback Machine / WhiteHouse.gov https://web.archive.org/web/20010118204900/http://www1.whitehouse
E29: Coinbase goes public, direct listings vs. IPOs, portfolio management, unions & more with Bestie Guestie Brad Gerstner
Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg https://twitter.com/altcap Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Referenced in the show: Statista - Death rates from coronavirus (COVID-19) in the United States https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-rates-us-by-st
E28: Current state of public & private markets, Archegos debacle, US debt issues, wealth tax & more
Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Referenced in the show: Axios - Changes to capital gains taxes omitted from Biden's infrastructure plan https://www.axios.com/biden-infrastructure-plan-capital-gains-taxes-318224d2-84f8-4c48-b5db-bbcec5fdd74
E27: The Great Inflation Debate, Amazon gets spicy on Twitter, rethinking supply chains & more
Sacks' Inflation Deck: https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1vBeh__Kyf57jfhWPOQXaU64VdLaowQBAHwXjBzuVSPs/edit?usp=sharing Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Referenced in the show: Tweets https://twitter.com/davehclark/status/13750454095428
E26: State of Venture Capital, plus fan questions on longevity, decentralization & quantum computing
View the State of VC deck here: https://rb.gy/wfan6j Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/MikeSylvan Referenced in the show: Lifespan by David Sinclair: https://rb.gy/etzzmk Prenuvo: https://www.prenuvo.co
E25: Biden's vaccine mandate, "equity" in distribution, NFT speculation, impact of inflation & more
Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/MikeSylvan Articles referenced in the show: The New England Journal of Medicine - BNT162b2 mRNA Covid 19 Vaccine in a Nationwide Mass Vaccination Setting https://www.ne
E24: Markets trend down, political manipulation via COVID “Zeroism," stimulus breakdown, biological Patriot Act
Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/MikeSylvan Referenced in the show: NY Magazine - Zero COVID Risk Is the Wrong Standard https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/school-opening-science-coronavirus-teach
E23: Radical DAs, breaking down FB/Google vs. Australia, sustained fear post-vaccine & fan questions!
Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/MikeSylvan Referenced in the show: WSJ - Lake Tahoe Property Sells for $1.6 Million in Bitcoins https://www.wsj.com/articles/lake-tahoe-property-sells-for-1-6-million-
E22: Reflecting on the Robinhood situation with Bestie Guestie Vlad Tenev
Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg https://twitter.com/vladtenev Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/MikeSylvan Show Notes: 0:00 Bestie intro, congrats to Friedberg on a big beak wet 1:44 Jason intros Vlad Tenev 2:48 Vlad fields questions
E21: Media misalignment, subjects controlling narratives & more with bestie guestie Draymond Green
Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg https://twitter.com/Money23Green Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/MikeSylvan Referenced in the show: David Sacks on Tucker Carlson https://youtu.be/MukXS8uaVns Gell-Mann Amnesia https://www.epsilontheo
E20: Robinhood wrap up, Insiders vs. Outsiders, California's failing report card & how to fix it
Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/MikeSylvan Referenced in the show: The Insiders' Game by David Sacks https://www.persuasion.community/p/the-insiders-game ABC News - CA EDD admits paying as much as $31
E19: Breaking down Robinhood's GameStop decision: Why did it happen and how can it be prevented in the future?
Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/MikeSylvan Referenced in the show: David Sacks on Bloomberg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K2lJg4sxl2U Chamath for Governor https://www.chamathforca.com DeepFuckingValue'
E18: Inauguration talk, breaking down the $1.9T stimulus, the case for recalling Gavin Newsom & more
Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/MikeSylvan Referenced in the show: M1 Money Stock https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1 Friedberg's Spy Situation https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/chinese-national-who-work
E17: Big Tech bans Trump, ramifications for the First Amendment & the open Internet
Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8lxk47phNV4&t=1s Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/MikeSylvan Referenced in the show: “I Have Blood on My Hands”: A Whistleblower Says Facebook Ignored Global Political Manipulation https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/craigsilv
E16: Reflecting on the riots at the US Capitol, plus: Georgia runoff elections, vaccine distribution & more
Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/aizgdm Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/MikeSylvan Referenced in the show: The Killer D.A. by David Sacks https://rb.gy/k5rz0k Show Notes: 0:00 New intro for the besties - listen here: https://rb.gy/aizgdm 2:14 Sacks' trip to Miami 6:01 Reflectin
E15: “The Besties” All-In’s inaugural award show covering the best, worst & most memorable of 2020
Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://soundcloud.com/olyofficial Show Notes: 0:00 The besties discuss some recent beak wetting, open source merch & more 6:31 Chamath tells the “192.5” weight loss bet story 10:54 Biggest Winner - Politics 13:08 Biggest Loser - Politics 16:24 Biggest Winner - Busin
E14: Salesforce acquires Slack, DeepMind’s AlphaFold breakthrough, Trust Fund Socialists & more
Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Invest with the Best... ies!: https://www.thesyndicate.com/allin Referenced in the show: NYT - The Rich Kids Who Want to Tear Down Capitalism https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/27/style/trust-fund-activism-resouce-generation.html Coinbase - An upcoming story about Coinbase https://blog.c
E13: SPACsgiving Special! More promising vaccine news, innovation vs. regulation, reforming higher ed, morality of challenge trials & more
Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Referenced in the show: NYT Article - Politics, Science and the Remarkable Race for a Coronavirus Vaccine https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/21/us/politics/coronavirus-vaccine.html Show Notes: 0:00 Besties congratulate Friedberg & Chamath for taking Metromile public, Chamath explains a PI
E12: Biden wins, Pfizer vaccine, markets rip, Trump's next act, COVID endgame scenarios & more
Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Show Notes: 0:00 Besties reflect on the election night special, comparing Trump's case to Al Gore's in 2000 4:44 Was this election devastating for extreme-ism in politics? 12:13 Pfizer vaccine, withholding the vaccine from the political news cycle 21:54 COVID endgame scenarios 28:45 Pub
E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Follow the bestie guesties: https://twitter.com/bgurley https://twitter.com/phil_hellmuth https://twitter.com/altcap https://twitter.com/jcpolls Show Notes: 0:00 The besties & Phil Hellmuth on Trump’s early lead, live betting odds, the Latinx reversal 10:09 Sacks intros political expert
E10: Twitter & Facebook botch censorship (again), the publisher vs. distributor debate & more
Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Sacks' blog post on Section 230: https://medium.com/craft-ventures/rip-section-230-1112dfad3fac Referenced in the show: NY Post Hunter Biden Story https://nypost.com/2020/10/14/email-reveals-how-hunter-biden-introduced-ukrainian-biz-man-to-dad/ Twitter's explanation for censoring it ht
E9: Trump has COVID, First debate reactions, Coinbase letter response & more
Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Referenced in the show: Brian Armstrong's Blog - Coinbase is a mission focused company https://blog.coinbase.com/coinbase-is-a-mission-focused-company-af882df8804 President Trump's medical treatment https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1312126100286271488 Show Notes: 0:00 The besties refle
E8: TikTok + Oracle, how privacy loss will impact society, economy & COVID outlooks for 2021 & beyond, California wildfires & more
Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://bio.fm/theallinpod Articles referenced in the show: America Needs to Lock Down Again: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2020-09-16/coronavirus-america-needs-lock-down-again A Taxonomy of Fear: https://www.persuasion.community/p/a-taxonomy-of-fear NuScale Power Article: https://www.busine
E7: California's collapse, how SPACs are opening the markets for growth stocks & more
Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://bio.fm/theallinpod Bestie recommendations: Chamath: https://www.amazon.com/Americana-400-Year-History-American-Capitalism/dp/0399563792 Sacks: https://taibbi.substack.com/ https://andrewsullivan.substack.com/ Friedberg: https://www.amazon.com/Godfather-Mario-Puzo/dp/0451205766 https://www.amazon.com/
E6: Big Tech antitrust aftermath, potential effects of an M&A clampdown on Silicon Valley & more
Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://bio.fm/theallinpod Jason's recent Big Tech antitrust hearings breakdown: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VWeMnJ0-a_U
E5: WHO's incompetence, kicking off Cold War II, China's grand plan, 100X'ing America's efficiency
Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://bio.fm/theallinpod
E4: Politicizing the pandemic, Police reform, Biden's ideal VP, Twitter vs. Facebook on free speech & more with David Sacks & David Friedberg
Follow @chamath: https://twitter.com/chamath Follow @jason: https://twitter.com/Jason https://linktr.ee/calacanis 0:01 Jason checks in on Chamath, Sacks & Friedberg, opening up their social circles, outdoor activities & more 9:31 Issues with politicizing matters of public health, deaths decreasing while new cases spike, masks, lockdowns & more 20:56 Viral videos, doxxing bad behavior & cancel culture 25:39 Reforming law enforcement, separating police from the military, changing police incentiv
E3: Modern Cold War between US & China, economic recovery, potential mass migration out of San Francisco, pandemic politicization & more with David Sacks & David Friedberg
Follow @chamath: https://twitter.com/chamath Follow @jason: https://twitter.com/Jason https://linktr.ee/calacanis 0:01 Jason & Chamath intro David Sacks & David Friedberg 1:15 Everybody gives their quarantine update: Sacks is in Mexico while running Craft remote, Chamath got a new poker table & is excited for shelter-in-place to end, Friedberg is getting back into a rhythm 8:04 Chamath & Sacks reflect on the coming return to normalcy & politicization of the virus 12:41 Sacks on 3 major data-
E2: Rebooting the economy, understanding corporate debt, steps to avoid a depression & more with David Sacks
Follow @chamath: https://twitter.com/chamath Follow @jason: https://twitter.com/Jason https://linktr.ee/calacanis 0:01 Jason & Chamath catch us up on their quarantines 1:20 Chamath intros David Sacks 4:40 David explains what their poker group chat has been like since COVID-19 started, and how Jason, Chamath & himself fall on the optimistic/pessimistic spectrum 6:58 How have the past few months defined David's view on the world, and what is his reaction to the US government's response? 12:22
E1: US Response to COVID-19 & Impact on Startups, Venture Capital & Public Markets with David Friedberg
Follow @chamath: https://twitter.com/chamath Follow @jason: https://twitter.com/Jason https://linktr.ee/calacanis 0:01 Jason & Chamath intro David and check in on each other's quarantines 2:26 Has the US overreacted or underreacted so far? David & Chamath give their opinions on new directives & statistics 13:15 Thoughts on potential treatment options & policy changes 22:25 Chamath explains the circumstances of recording a podcast while the Stock Market tanks in real-time 25:03 Should the U
E0: COVID-19 Political, Economic & Social Ramifications featuring David Friedberg
Follow @chamath: https://twitter.com/chamath Follow @jason: https://twitter.com/Jason https://linktr.ee/calacanis 0:01 Jason intros Chamath and Episode 0 of All-In and they discuss their current self-quarantine 0:55 Jason intros David Friedberg 1:35 Chamath gives the inaugural (& potentially final) All-In ad read 2:17 As a Warriors owner, Chamath gives his reaction to the NBA postponing & uncoordinated actions of government & private sectors 4:37 Why was the US so slow to react on both a