MEMBERSHIPSBecome a premium member on YouTube and Spotify for early access and bonus content. Join now!DISCUSSION 💬Join the discussion on Telegram: https://t.me/+OgDv1Djbvs80M2FkEPISODEEPISODEIn this episode, Douglas Paget, a macro researcher and founder of Applied MMT, shares his insights on modern monetary theory, the current macroeconomic landscape, and implications for markets and policy. We explore how government spending, interest rates, and fiscal policy influence the business cycle and asset prices.Follow Douglas Padgett 👉 https://x.com/mmtmacrotraderSUPPORT⚡️LNMS on Lightning: lnms@ln.mtpelerin.com₿ BTC-Address: bc1qmk7gfdnrdegnmnrtnacj6rslan0y6v29kdlf9p💵https://buy.stripe.com/9B600k5Tscv33Ue4zRdby00Twint: https://go.twint.ch/1/e/tw?tw=acq.Z7L1opJwS72nbGgEMY4w3ILkf67JAEyEFmXrtoKoUbONWSsjLDDQIhNx5ReanPy7.LINKS 📰 LNMS Newsletter: https://lessnoisemoresignal.substack.com/🎧 LNMS on Apple: https://tinyurl.com/4apksnyn🎧 LNMS on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/ttha8kku🎧 LNMS on Rumble: https://tinyurl.com/4k96c7tw🎧 LNMS on Fountain: https://tinyurl.com/5dsbbj5p🌐 LNMS Website: https://www.lessnoise-moresignal.com/📖 Bitcoin Book: https://www.amazon.de/dp/1967693013🎧 LNMS on YouTube: https://tinyurl.com/4jfhr4znSOCIALSFollow on X👉 https://x.com/pahuegFollow on Nostr 👉 https://primal.net/pascalFollow on LinkedIn 👉 https://www.linkedin.com/in/pascal-huegli/CHAPTERS00:00 Intro02:16 The mechanics of government borrowing and spending laws07:21 The influence of government and fiscal policy on the business cycle10:28 Historical context of fiscal deficits and economic growth15:12 Asset allocation: stocks, bonds, and commodities in macro context16:10 The role of the Fed and market expectations on yields20:26 Control over the yield curve and interest rates22:16 Japan's rate policy and implications for the US24:36 The income channel and its effect on the business cycle27:01 Policy tools to influence long-term interest rates29:42 The trade-off between low rates and economic growth32:08 Implications of high government spending and inflation35:01 Market signals, flow dynamics, and seasonality effects37:47 Short-term macro outlook and risks to assets40:08 Seasonality, fiscal cycles, and market stability43:24 Inflation, oil prices, and the real economy45:02 The impact of technological innovation and productivity47:23 Philosophical and political considerations of macroeconomic policy49:23 Historical lessons from deficits, bubbles, and crises50:23 Closing remarks and investment strategies in macro contextDisclaimerThe publications on this website and in these videos, including any references and links, are provided for information purposes only and do not constitute investment advice, investment analysis, or an offer or recommendation to buy or sell financial instruments. They do not replace investment or other professional advice. The information reflects the state of knowledge at the time of preparation and may be changed at any time without notice. The content is intended for natural people only. No liability is accepted for the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information provided, its sources, or for any resulting losses or damages. Liability for slight negligence is excluded. Marketing communication. Not investment advice. Investing involves risk. Transactions in Bitcoin may result in the total loss of the capital invested.